Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Close-coupled Character

I was commenting on the financial meltdown of 1907 at the American Thinker today. It’s all about sound collateral, I argued. An alert reader complained about the loose ends lying around.


Back in 1907, you see we, had a major credit crunch with trust companies failing all over the place. J.P.Morgan solved it with a bit of asset swapping, so that a shaky Wall Street broker could have collateral that everyone could trust.


In the aftermath of the crisis Congress hauled banker Morgan up to testify so that they could convict the innocent and let the guilty go free. He rather surprised them by saying that the key thing in business is character. Very good. But I then muddled things up by talking about the danger of close-coupled systems. They are bound to break, sooner of later, and then where are you?


You are right where we are today.


Morgan also flummoxed his congressional interrogator by failing to explain why he would buy a stock like Equitable Life, which only yielded one-eighth of a percent.


The answer, I think is character. We can’t just have people running flat out everywhere, trying to get the last ounce of profit out of the economy. That goes for politicians like Barney Frank who want Fannie and Freddie to squeeze the last ounce of credit into “affordable” homes for Democrats. And it goes for Wall Street Masters of the Universe leveraged up to the eyeballs squeezing the last ounce of profit out of the latest hot stock or derivative.


What is needed is some men of substance around like Morgan who, from painful experience, are willing to provide a factor of safety for the economy. They buy a stock not for its immediate potential but because it needs a good home. They unwind their leverage because they don’t want to be wiped—or wipe others out—if they bet wrong.


With chaps like Morgan around, you hope to avoid the risks of the close-coupled system which, when it fails, fails big.


It’s a tricky thing to implement, because we all want more efficiency in the economy, and more efficient use of resources. But how much should we risk for that?

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