Friday, March 10, 2017

Can Trump Save the White Working Class? Or America?

Who is right? Is it the globalist elite that tells us to abandon the nation state and submit to the fierce tides of the global economy?

Or is it Trump, who promises to invigorate the national economy and national spirit and Make America Great Again?

The short answer is: Neither.

I'd say that the global elite is right that the global economy is going to transform everything, no matter what local populists say. On the other hand I'd say that a global administrative elite is not the model that any wise Latina would choose to govern the world of the future.

I'd say that President Trump is right to propose a regulatory rollback and tax-rate cut. And I dare say he is right to halt the crony capitalist trade deals. But we are never going to get the white working class back to the good old days of graduating high school and getting a job-for-life at the unionized steel plant down the street.

Moreover, while it is true that the globalist vision of global governance by a wise and evolved bureaucratic elite is rubbish, it is also true that today's nation states will one day go the way of the German Empire. And the Soviet Union. And the Ming dynasty.

We all like to rag on the alt-right, but they are right when they say that migration equals invasion.

Who do you think the Lombards were? They didn't always live in Lombardy in northern Italy. They were migrants that invaded across the Alpine passes. Or the Vikings. They were running all over northwest Europe for about 300 years from 800 to 1100. When they had finished Britland had a Viking monarchy by way of Normandy -- because the Normans were Vikings that the Franks allowed to settle in northern France.

Or North America. There was a migration! It utterly wiped out and swept aside the inhabitants of North America and substituted a migrant culture from northwest Europe. Hello USA!

So what about today's migrations out of Africa and the Middle East into Europe, and out of southern and central America into the United States?

Let's look at the record of northwest European migration of the last half millennium.

Where Europeans encountered nomadic or early agricultural cultures they generally wiped them out; and it helped when European diseases wiped out the original inhabitants. When the Europeans encountered Africa, where the diseases killed Europeans, or where the Europeans encountered the great civilizations like India and China, the Europeans dominated for a century or two, but eventually retreated. India is still India today; China is still China.

The histories of India and China are salutary. India has suffered successive invasions from the Asian steppe, yet every time has lived to tell the tale. China has suffered successive times of troubles, including the Yuan dynasty from Mongolia and the Manchu dynasty from Manchuria. But Chineseness has always succeeded in the end.

And even the end of the Roman Empire was not really the end. The Franks and the Germans thought of themselves as inheriting the Roman Empire and carrying it on. That is what curious notions like the Holy Roman Empire of the German Nation were all about.

Let us just say this. The rise of migration in recent decades coupled with the aging of the left's welfare state and the decline of metal-bending manufacturing has put everything in flux and created a feeling that things are not copacetic, and that Something Must Be Done.

What is the right response, culturally, economically, and politically?

That's a good question, Senator.

Thursday, March 9, 2017

Even Good Liberals Miss the Point

A reader alerted me yesterday to a piece by a Good Liberal in The American Scholar. William Deresiewicz, a college teacher, rightly takes apart the whole political correctness movement as a pure power play that wants to silence the opposition. And he also recognizes that elite colleges are seminaries that teach ruling class orthodoxy.

Without mentioning Charles Murray he points out that today's elite colleges are segregating by class, and the few that come from lower classes are pretty quickly taught the liberal ruling-class orthodoxy.

But then he goes off the rails.
There is systemic racism and individual bigotry in the United States, and colleges are not immune from either. There is systemic sexism and sexual assault in society at large, and campuses are no exception. 
So the agenda of the left is based "in legitimate concerns."

But as soon as you say that you are legitimizing the ruling class to "do something" about it. And the only thing the ruling class understands is the clunking fist of government power.

Let's back up and remember how we got here. In the US South, after the Civil War, after the Republican Party retreated from Reconstruction and left the black freedmen to the tender mercies of the Democratic Party street thugs in the Ku Klux Klan the resulting domination over the Negro race was still not enough for the Southrons. And the reason was capitalism. Hey, if Negroes got paid less than the going wage for whites, then why not hire the Negro and make more money!

That was intolerable, and so the South implemented what we now call Jim Crow laws. Those were the laws that forced blacks to sit at the back of the bus. It wasn't the bus company that did it; it was government.

When the Civil Rights Acts of the 1960s were being debated the question arose whether the civil rights laws should apply to government only or to the private sector as well. Should the law forbid government to discriminate by race, or should it forbid the private sector to discriminate by race as well. The consensus among ruling-class liberals was that the laws should apply the to private sector: corporations, dontcha know.

But Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-AZ), the man who had integrated the Arizona National Guard, voted against the Civil Rights Act of 1964. He believed that the law should apply only to government, not to private citizens. And for that he was branded a racist.

We are now seeing that he was right. Today liberals of all stripes are using civil rights law to beat up their political opponents wherever they find them: in government, in non-profits, in the private sector. Elite ruling-class gays are using civil rights law to beat up Christian bakers that don't want to service a gay wedding.

I argue that the liberal approach to civil rights in fact encourages racism and sexism and homophobia. By raising the question of race on everything from professional sports to diversity in tech companies, liberals are forcing Americans to think about race every waking hour. They are forcing race consciousness into every corner of society.

I would call that "systemic racism." And, of course, the whole diversity racket is simply racism by another name.

I think that leftist politics is the most cruel and unjust religious and political movement ever, because it builds roadblocks on the Road to the Middle Class. In that book I argue that people coming to the city need to shuck off their tribal and peasant ways and become responsible individuals in the city.

The Great Enrichment of the last 200 years is the most amazing thing ever for ordinary people. But to get the full benefit, I argued in Road, you need to slough off your old ways and learn the culture of the city.

But the left, ever since its official birth in 1848, has encouraged the workers and peasants, the People of the Subordinate Self, to stay in their tribal enclaves. And modern identity politics has further encouraged the lower classes to identify by race and gender rather than shuck off that skin and become responsible middle-class citizens that obey the law, go to work, and follow the rules.

We know why the left does that. It wants to lead the workers and peasants in the streets; it wants them to switch from being the subordinates of the old land owners to become the subordinates of politicians, crime bosses, community organizers, and race hustlers: the soldiers in their political armies.

And this is cruel, unjust, and vile.

Here's what I want. The government shall write no law respecting a race, a gender, or a class. The rest of us are free to discriminate all we want.

And so we do. If we are tech companies we hire East Asians over hillbilly whites. If we are football teams we hire African Americans over whites and Asians. If we are baseball teams we hire Hispanics from the Caribbean.

As long as the government stays out of it people find their niche and everything works out in the end.

If you want to talk about "systemic racism" then you are talking about liberals sticking their racist noses into everything in America and teaching people to hate each other.

And dear William Deresiewicz doesn't have a clue.

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

Obamacare-lite Debuts

I suppose that "repeal and replace" where Obamacare was concerned was always a pipe-dream. That is because, once the government has started a program it is almost impossible to stop it. The clients of the program will tear down the state rather than give up their free stuff.

So the Obamacare subsidies for people buying health insurance on the exchanges won't go away in the new Ryan health plan.

And there won't be a national health insurance market. And the special status of corporate health plans, with their tax-deductibility that puts individual plans into such a bind: that won't go away.

On the other hand the plan does propose to "do something" about Medicaid by moving to a per-capita grant from the Feds to the states instead of the current system.

It will be interesting to see what happens next, because conservatives and libertarians are outraged and naturally a chap like Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) had his sound bite all ready. Said he:
Trumpcare doesn’t replace the Affordable Care Act, it forces millions of Americans to pay more for less care.
Chuck is probably right. Whenever the government changes its spending, it is going to make life easier for millions on the one hand, and make life harder for millions on the other hand.

And since tens of millions are getting a break from their corporate plans, and tens of millions a break from Medicaid, and tens of millions like me a break from Medicare you can see that there is not just one third rail that a politician doesn't want to touch, but several. Because I can tell you, all of us demand that nobody lay a finger on our health plans.

No doubt Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) and his assistants are trying to put together a plan that insulates him and the GOP from electric shock as far as possible.

And no doubt the master negotiator President Trump will get in the act to finalize the deal.

But I am trying to think about the bigger picture. How do we get out of the box canyon of the administrative state, where government programs and processes are almost impossible to adapt and change before the inevitable pileup into the canyon wall, as in Venezuela?

If you are an underappreciated genius, this would be the miracle of the ages. How to escape the civilizational cycle that ends up in financial collapse because the government has promised too much to too many people and can't reduce the free stuff for anyone.

There is one method that seems to work. You declare a group to be the enemy of all good people. Marx and Engels did a good number on the bourgeoisie back in the 19th century and created the space to tax and punish the bourgeoisie and make them pay for benefits for the working class. And modern liberals in the 1960s demonized whites as racists so they could dump the white working class and give benefits instead to blacks and women.

So who do we demonize so we can reduce the huge burden of the modern state? The liberals? The cognitive elite?

Maybe that is what Trumpism is doing, provoking the left's bully boys to come out into the streets and beat up women college professors, as at Middlebury College last week.

Frankly, I prefer the workings of the market. The worst thing it can do is drive you into bankruptcy. That is much gentler, and more civilized than the demonizing and Othering and "mostly peaceful" protests of the political world.

Tuesday, March 7, 2017

The Folly of the Activism Culture

We all know what went down at Middlebury College, when foolish students shouted down and assaulted a mainstream libertarian scholar, Charles Murray.

But the vile left-wing thug culture is all around us.

Here is climate activist Peter Gleick, identity thief, according to Wattsupwiththat.com.
Peter Gleick impersonated a member of the Heartland Board of Directors to steal documents, then spiced up the swag with a forgery when he discovered it didn’t contain anything incriminating, all while serving as chair of the American Geophysical Union Taskforce on Scientific Ethics.
What is Gleick up to this week? He is sending out the following message:
I’m Marching to Fight the Alarming War on Science. Join Me
"Marching?" "Fight?" "War?" What planet is this guy living on?

What we have here is the delusional "activism culture" of the left, that started with the Communist Manifesto in 1848. The idea back then was that the proletarians working in the factories of the industrial revolution were condemned to "immiseration" and exploitation unless well-born activists represented them and fought in the streets for their rights.

The idea now is that the climate is going to spiral out of control unless well-born activists fight in the streets to save science from the deniers.

The lefties were wrong then, because the bourgeoisie heard the cries of the workers and did something about it; they gave the workers the vote.

And the lefties are wrong now. The question of climate change is not a question to be fought out by marching and fighting in the streets. It is a question to be worked out in the normal peaceful progressions of politics and elections.

Because that is the whole point of elections and legislatures and courts and political speech. It is that everyone agrees not to go to the streets, but instead resolve and compromise their differences in peaceful debate and in the corridors of power.

But the left has absolutely no intention of allowing anyone else to have a vote, on climate change or on the welfare state, or race or gender or anything else. That is the point of the left's pejoratives: racist, sexist, homophobe. That is the point of shouting down conservative speakers on campus. That is the point of marching to fight the war on science.

The funny thing is that the great lesson of the last two hundred years, the Great Enrichment, is that force is usually not necessary to get useful things done. All the great economic disruptions of the last two hundred years did not need central control and top-down direction to mitigate their effects. People just went to work and worked it out with each other and got past it.

So it is a great irony that, just as humans entered an astonishing period where they found that they could negotiate pretty well everything using market exchange instead of defending their patch of land to the last border warrior, we have the growth of a secular religion that makes politics its god: what we now call leftism, or what I call the "activism culture," and this culture proposes that only by marching and protesting and "marching" and "fighting" can we bend the arc of history towards justice.

I understand why we have the activism culture. The development of the universal exchange economy is a wonder for ordinary men and women, allowing them to wive and thrive without having to enserf themselves to a great lord or a local political big-wig.

This development has not been good for people with an appetite for political power. What? No need for high politics? Just let the market take care of it? Even at the level of religion: just let the religious sects compete in the religion market? You must be kidding! There has to be a need for the modern equivalent of the well-born Prince Hals and Harry Percys to duke it out on the battlefields of intersectionality and science and climate change!

Are we condemned to an escalation of this present enthusiasm for activism? Or will the activism of the 2000s go the way of the activism wave of the 1960s?

You may remember what happened after the riots and demos of the Sixties. What happened is that ordinary people absolutely hated it, and they voted again and again for candidates that promised to put an end to it.

And it seemed, when Bill Clinton ran for president and excoriated Sister Souljah, that the whole thing had been put behind us.

Unfortunately we have a new generation of lefties that did not experience the long humiliation of Nixon followed by Reagan. Hopefully they are in for a couple of decades of Trump followed by über-Trump that will teach their generation a lesson.

But you never know.

Monday, March 6, 2017

We are not in Conservative Kansas Any More

I happened over the weekend to read a piece by Claire Berlinski on Richochet where she bemoaned what had happened to conservatism under Trump.
I’m outraged by Trump and what’s become of conservatism, I’m depressed by all of it and sad that I’ve devoted so much of my life to a political ideology that in the end looks as corrupt to me as socialism.
I get it. I got there at the Republican convention when I wrote: "All I Know is that Gentlemanly Conservatism is Dead."

But I think that Berlinski is wrong to say that conservatism was or is as corrupt as socialism.

What happened is that being nice didn't work. That was symbolized last week when conservative/libertarian scholar Charles Murray, a true gentleman, was shouted down at Middlebury College.

The whole point of Charles Murray is that he has spent his life painstakingly showing that liberalism doesn't work.

Moreover, he argued in The Bell Curve our current education system with its standardized tests and its college entrance by SAT is segregating America into the intelligent and the not-so-intelligent. And in that battle African Americans are going to lose out because they have lower IQs, on average, than whites.

It turned out that you are not allowed to say that in America. Because racism.

So Murray came back with a book about whites, and made the same point. If you are in the top 25 percent, the intelligent ones that get to go to the good colleges and meet and marry people just like them, you are doing fine. If you are the bottom 30 percent, white working class in Fishtown in Philadelphia, you are living in a place where the men don't work much and the women don't marry much. And this is a national disaster.

But Charles Murray was not allowed to tell the young heads full of mush about that, not at Middlebury College.

So gentlemanly conservatism has failed; the gentle art of persuasion has failed.

You can understand why. Leaving aside the questions of truth and science and ethics and culture and morality there is the simple fact that any change proposed by conservatives is going to reduce the political and cultural power of liberals. And since political power and cultural power is where liberals live, they are resisting change, any change, to the knife.

That is why we have President Trump. For the last eight years, at least, the Republican base has been complaining about leaders that talk a good line when they want to get elected but that fail to fight when they get to Washington DC. Ted Cruz understood that and designed his campaign to exploit it. But Ted Cruz was no match for Donald Trump in the fighting department. So Donald Trump won the nomination. And won the election.

Donald Trump won the election by winning the key demographic that Republicans have been trying and failing to connect with ever since Ronald Reagan left the White House: the white working class.

The grievance of the white working class is not the same as the Republican base. Their grievance, barely articulated, is that the white working class have been the ones forced to pay for the race quotas and gender quotas of the last 50 years.

But both groups want a president to fight for them, and not make nice with Ted Kennedy or Chuck Schumer or whoever.

That's why we have President Trump. He promised to fight, to Make America Great Again, and make America First.

That is shocking to the Claire Berlinskis of the world, and I am sorry that the world is turning out to be a rougher, tougher place than they had wanted.

So it is shocking to have President Trump go straight down the Democrats' throat on immigration. It is shocking to have President Trump turn the tables on the Democrats' RussiaGate and turn it into a DeepStateGate by accusing the Obama administration of spying on his campaign. No Republican has ever dared to do that, not in my lifetime.

We are just not used to a Republican going for the jugular, and that is because in the past it never turned out well to do so. The Democrats with the help of the mainstream media and its Democratic operatives with bylines could always impose their Narrative over any Republican that dared to challenge them.

The point of the administration of Donald Trump is to find out whether it is possible to turn the tables on the Democrats, the liberal ruling class, the Cathedral and its narrative.

If President Trump succeeds in turning the tables on the liberal ruling class then we are in a new era. If he fails then the liberals have won, and it is single-payer everything and the administrative state to rule over all.

Right now all we can say is that there is hope. It looks like President Trump has the chops and the strategic instinct to play the high-stakes game of challenging the liberal ruling class and its Deep State. But the fight in only in its first round. There is a long way to go, and many perils ahead.

But the old conservatism is dead, and we are not in Kansas any more.

Friday, March 3, 2017

But Can This Anti-Trump Gang Shoot Straight?

I imagine that everyone to the right of Patty Murray is outraged by the continuing campaign to delegitimize and destabilize the Trump administration.

And how are they doing this? With accusations of collusion with the Russians, of all people, to swing the 2016 election. This from Democrats that have spent half a century insisting that the worst political crime in America is to accuse elite Americans of collusion with the Russians. That, you will remember, was what the "Red Scare" and the evils of McCarthyism were all about.

Only, of course, back then, in the 1940s, there really were Communists in the State Department and they really were acting in the interests of the Soviet Union and against the interests of the United States.

So now Attorney General Sessions has recused himself from a Justice Department investigation of Russian influence in the election.

But Mark Levin proposes that President Obama has his fingerprints all over this Russia gambit. And now it appears that his aide Valerie Jarrett will live in the former president's new home and help coordinate his activities against Trump.

Help! Murder! Conspiracy! This is a conspiracy to drive Donald Trump out of office!

Yes. So it is, without a doubt. But do you know what I think? I think that this whole anti-Trump conspiracy is a mistake of monumental proportions. And it is typical of the strategic blindness of the world's First Community-Organizer-in-Chief and the rest of the ruling class that presides over these United Administrative States.

The fact is that Barack Obama has mucked up just about everything he touched. Instead of getting the economy going in 2009 after the biggest financial crash since 1929 he went ahead with the accumulated agenda of the Democratic Party: a stupid stimulus -- like that would help -- followed by heaping huge costs on the economy with Obamacare and green energy. Not to mention burying the financial industry in red tape with the Dodd-Frank bill. Then the Obama administration foreign policy has been a disaster, making the Middle East into a bomb crater.

Not to mention that the Russians have twirled the Obamis around like a Russian doll. No wonder the Obama people are angry with the Russians.

But do you think that the tag team of Obama and Jarrett are going to turn the Trump administration upside down? And Nancy Pelosi? And Chuck Schumer? With their track record? With their level of smarts?

I come back, again and again, to Charles Murray and Coming Apart. It's the final version of a story he has been telling for 30 years. In today's America the top 25 percent, the professional class, is doing well, with great careers, merger marriages, and splendid prosperity. The middle half is not doing so good, with stagnant wages and too much divorce. The bottom 30 percent is in trouble: the men don't work much and the women don't marry much. And that is just white people.

The reason we have President Trump is that, for 30 years, our liberal ruling class has been resolutely ignoring this gathering storm, by focusing on identity politics and regulation and green energy.

President Trump won by romancing the white working class, the primary loser from 50 years of race and gender quotas. Now he is busy romancing the blacks, cruelly betrayed by Democratic race politics. Imagine what happens if Trump increases his black vote from 10 percent to 20 percent.

Meanwhile the geniuses in the Democratic Party are shocked, shocked, that Republicans have been talking to Russians. Why, the noive! Didn't we all agree 50 years ago that only Democrats were allowed to do that? Only John Kerry is allowed to talk to the North Vietnamese in Paris. Only Ted Kennedy is allowed to talk to the Soviets about hurting Reagan in the 1984 election. Only Obama is allowed to talk to the Russians about being more flexible after the 2012 elections. Republicans need not apply.

More and more I am coming around to the idea that the Democrats are running out of rope on the identity politics and elite save-the-planet agenda that has obsessed them for the last half century. And the reason is that their politics has done nothing for the ordinary middle-class American.

They are reduced to the status of Scarlett O'Hara. Where will they go? What will they do?

Nothing new here. That is always what happens to ruling classes. They build a world view that turns a mirror on themselves as the noblest, wisest, most evolved people in history. Mirror Mirror on the wall.

All is well until the mirror cracks from side to side.

Thursday, March 2, 2017

Joint Address Activism: First Time as Tragedy...

Now that I have got home from emptying out the apartment of Lady Marjorie's mother, I have had time to watch President Trump's first address to Congress.

I know that everyone says it was a smash hit. I thought that it was a learning experience. The president started out a bit hesitant, and tied to his TelePrompters. But pretty soon he got in his stride and starting making political points. It was good because it was not what a State of the Union speech usually is: it was not a laundry list. By the middle of the speech, Donald Trump was in his stride. By the end, he had become a master, doing the Navy SEAL widow piece to perfection.

It was good also because President Trump made full use of the biggest asset of the presidential bully pulpit. The President of the United States is the symbol of the nation, and the sole representative of the American people as a whole. When the president speaks, the American people speak through him. When he calls for unity, for Republicans and Democrats in Congress to get together, he is making a veiled threat: what, you oppose me, the representative of the American people? How could you?

But my big takeaway from the speech was the utter stupidity of the Democrats and their white dresses and their stupid buttons.

I was trying to cudgel my brain to come up with a way of showing the folly of this to you, my readers, and the first thing I came up with was "Activism 101," complete with stupid props for a stupid freshman college course in left-wing social activism. But then I realized that it was worse than that. It was social activism dumbed down for elementary school.

"Now students," says the dull liberal teacher, "I want everyone to come to tomorrow's class as an activist!" So of course the girls choose white dresses, and the boys choose stupid campaign buttons.

But when a government teacher is telling students in a government child-custodial facility to pretend to be desperate people excluded from the system, you can tell that Marx's apothegm still applies. Remember?
Hegel remarks somewhere that all great, world-historical facts and personages occur, as it were, twice. He has forgotten to add: the first time as tragedy, the second as farce.
OK. So modern activism started in 1848 with Marx and Engels issuing a manifesto for the excluded workers of the world. They had a point. But it was a tragedy that their ideas led straight to the Soviet Union and the Peoples Republic of China in which 100 million humans died for no good reason, and that billions of humans were excluded from the miracles of the 200-year Great Enrichment from $1-3 income per day to $120 per day.

But it is a lie for activists funded by George Soros to pretend to be the excluded and the wretched of the earth. And it is utter farce for the members of the House of Representatives, clothed in the power and majesty of the Government of the United State and trailing clouds of glory to pretend to be little kindergarteners dressing up for a unit in social activism.

My point is that when well-born youth -- never mind middle-aged national politicians -- get themselves all gussied up to protest oppression and injustice, it is all probably a lie.

The story of the last year is what gives it the lie. While liberals have been filling the national bandwidth with their end-of-era obsessions for gay marriage and bike paths and turning the health care system upside down to assist 20 million Americans without health insurance, it turns out, as the Washington Post admits, that the white working class was quietly dying of despair.

Golly who knew? Where were the activists? Where were the white dresses? Where were the peaceful protests? Where were the elite-educated community activists?

It is time to get out of the Marxist cycle of tragedy and farce, and get down to work. And the road to sanity starts with the admission that, usually, government is not the solution, government is the problem.

And activism and well-born community activists have nothing to do with the case.