Tuesday, December 1, 2020

The Eternal Temptation of the Ruling Class Scions

Back in the day the world was simple for rough tough young scions of the ruling class. They were warriors! Saving their countries from the neighboring savages! Or from the Goths, or the Huns, or the Mongols!

But when you get to the absolute monarchs, you get Henry VIII pictured in extravagantly expensive be-jeweled garments. You get Louis XIV in extravagantly expensive be-jeweled garments plus showing a nice bit of leg.

When you get to the nineteenth century you get the politician that really knows how to carry the House of Commons with him. If you are a Disraeli you are a dab hand at stealing the Liberal Party agenda and extending the franchise further than the Libs had dare propose.

In the twentieth century you get Lords of Creation like President Wilson getting the US into WWI to help teach the Kaiser a lesson. What a hero! Then we had President Roosevelt going him one better. First he was the champion of the common man with a magnificent New Deal that fundamentally transformed America for the better. And then he topped it off by dispatching the Nazis to the trash-can of history.

In other words. No matter what, there are would-be political Saviors all over the place that desperately need something, anything, so that they can strut their stuff and prove that they are the best thing since sliced bread.

In our day, one ruling class grift is Activism, proving yourself to be a True Ally to all the oppressed peoples out there. And boy, are you going to teach those systemic racist white oppressors a lesson!

Another ruling class grift is using the courts and the legal system to advance political goals that cannot be won by conventional political means, such as through legislative action: often called Lawfare.

For instance, this morning I got an email from a Nick Cady, of Cascade Wildlands, "Missing lynx: Advocates challenge Feds’ refusal to prepare recovery plan." The advocates are suing in federal court  "challenging the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service’s (the Service’s) decision to forgo recovery planning for threatened Canada lynx." Every young scion is trying to think up a scam like this.

Then there are a couple of WattsUpWithThat pieces: one is about a swamp plan to implement the Green New Deal "with No Legislation, No Rulemaking Process, Just a Sweetheart Consent Decree." Another is about the Massachusetts Attorney General's plan to use its attorneys to enforce the Paris climate treaty (which isn't a treaty in the US).

I have been trying to think up a meme to describe this approach to politics. And I get it. This is no different than the warrior leaders of old puffing their courage before their tribesmen. Or the absolute monarch fluffing their ermine robes before the courtiers that can't afford be-jeweled ermine. Or the 20th century politicians saving the world from Nazis and Commies. Or the activist chappies heroically saving the "threatened" lynx. Or the Al Gores and WEF chappies saving the world from climate change.

I already have a blog label "lefts errors" and a blog label "lefts crimes." I was thinking about "lefts cunning" but I don't know that the left is particularly cunning. Hey, I know! How about "lefts conceits," the conceit that rather dull and unremarkable scions of the ruling class are in fact heroes of the age. This would fit into the Curtis Yarvin notion of the gentry class's lust for "ambition, honor, and vanity."

The thing is that ruling classes since time began have been fluffing their feathers in search of "ambition, honor, and vanity." It's just that the means have changed over the centuries.

But, I'd say, whatever the century we are still talking about rather average men trying to sell themselves to the world as world conquerors. For the real work of the world, as George Eliot reminded us at the end of Middlemarch, has a lot to do with ordinary decent people who "lived faithfully a hidden life, and rest in unvisited tombs." 

 

Monday, November 30, 2020

What is the Political Future?

Here's a piece at JewishWorldReview about a new generation gap and how the Kidz are all diverse and liberals and and we are all doomed. He quotes a demographer:

"This gap is reflected in negative attitudes among many older whites toward immigration, new minority growth, and big government programs that cater to the real economic and educational needs of America's younger, more diverse population," he said.

Well, yes. maybe. Or maybe the average kids of diverse background will just grow up to become middle-class patriotic Americans that want a job, a house, and a family. I know a family from Mexico where the kids are all the first to go to college. But they are all planning to be medical technicians and stuff.

Then there's a piece by the Z-man at Taki's. He's worried about gyno-fascism.

Patriarchal authoritarianism provides the firm slap of authority when it is needed. The point is to maintain order. Once it is applied, that’s it. The feminine version has no point other than to inflict endless torment in an effort to gain attention. Of course, it never ends. The ruling class is now a needy girlfriend with a personality disorder, demanding we drop everything to hear about her day.

I'd put the problem a little differently: in terms of the part-time 73-year-old teacher sacked from a Brit university. His boss and the boss of the university were both women. He said, in a private conversation with his female boss that “Jewish people are the cleverest in the world” and “Germans are good engineers.”

The 73-year-old’s remarks were then investigated by Solent University after Dr Bonar complained about his use of racial and national stereotypes.

Do you see the problem here? Normally in the community of women, after a man had said something like this, the women would all get together in their Kaffee Klatsches and tell each other "I can't believe he said that." "Everyone" would agree that he was a ugly man, that they were "literally shaking" and after a while things would get back to normal.

If this episode had just been men, the boss of the 73-year-old would have said to him, "I say old chap, I think you are a little bit off the deep-end on that one." The idea of firing the guy wouldn't have occurred to them. Unless some woman complained.

Hey ladies! I think there is a bit of a problem when a guy gets fired for something he said rather than for something he did. But I realize that in the women's world, everything is about stuff that people have said.

Then we have a general piece about how university students are liberal, but east-coast students at selective colleges are much more liberal. Well, yeah. And there is a reason for that. One: all their teachers are liberal; two: nearly all the jobs in the Gentry class are grift jobs, where you are paid to virtue-signal with gubmint money, and where you never subject yourself to the grueling possibilities of starting your own business. So it makes sense to be a virtue-signaling liberal with a degree in Activism.

Then we have good old Victor Davis Hanson opining about "Why Our Universities Have Failed." He asks

Where did Antifa youth rioting in the streets receive their intellectual and ethical bearings? Why are the First and Second Amendments no longer fully operative? How did the general population become nearly ignorant of their Constitution, history, and the hallmarks of their culture? Why do employers no longer equate a bachelor’s degree with competency in oral and written communications, basic computation, and reasoning? How in the 21st century did race and ethnicity come to define who we are rather than become incidental to our individual personas? In answering all these questions, we always seem to return to higher education—the font of much of our contemporary malaise.

But the point is that, from the point of view of the ruling class, the system is working. They want a gentry-proletariat of angry young people with gigantic student loans. They want a canting moral universe where they can play racial roulette to teach people to hate and to fear. They want a world where they get to name and shame. They need the Deplorables so they can sneer at them.

My point is that the university system has always been a place where the ruing class teaches the candidates for entry into the ruling class how to be a good ruling-class member in good standing and qualify for the top jobs in ruling-class-dom. Back in the day they taught the young sprigs the classics. Then they taught them philosophy, politics, and economics, because rulers needed that knowledge to preside over a modern representative industrial-age republic. 

Now they teach the Kidz critical race theory and the "oppressed peoples, allies, and white oppressors" moral framework. Because the political formula of today's ruling class is that the rulers are battling valiantly against the dragons of systemic racism on behalf of poor helpless minorities and women and non-binaries everywhere, and that is what they want the future leaders to be carefully taught.

My judgement is that it won't work. But there is going to be an slight unpleasantness at the Bellona Club  and a significant butcher's bill before the smoke clears and we emerge into sunny green uplands in the Era After Woke.

Friday, November 27, 2020

What Will Happen to the Economy Post-COVID?

The three trillion dollar stimulus of the last year -- see my COVID-19 page for details -- carpet-bombed the economy during the spring lockdown. But now what?

The hard part of national economics is what to do after the war or the stock-market crash or the epidemic, and past history is not very encouraging.

Back in the days of the gold standard, governments would implement policy of "resumption," to cancel the inflation of the war years and return the value of the national currency to its pre-war level. The idea was to pay back holders of government debt for their losses during the war inflation. The results were not happy.

After the Napoleonic War the Brits were determined to get back to pre-war parity. The result was deflation and unhappy workers, like the Peterloo Massacre of 1819 and the Captain Swing riots of 1830. Of course it all ended happily ever after with the Great Reform Bill of 1832.

After the US Civil War which featured a ton of paper money and debt, the government determined to return to the pre-war parity of the dollar. This led to the Great Panic of 1873. Farmers that took out mortgages in the 1860s were screwed because their farm mortgages were underwater -- also debtors in general. What followed was the Long Depression. And then there was the Panic of 1893 with a depression that lasted until 1896. Remember William Jennings Bryan and the "Cross of Gold" speech, as in "You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold." He means the gold standard.

After World War I countries like Britain and the US went back on the gold standard at pre-war parities. And the workers and debtors hated it. Of course, Germany, dismembered by the Treaty of Versailles, was unable to service its war debts and keep paying all its social democratic benefit programs and so devalued the currency in hyper-inflation and wiped out the widows and orphans in the middle class that kept their savings in Reichmarks. Thanks, pal, said Adolf Hitler.

After the 1929 stock market crash the US Federal Reserve Board fluffed its first financial crisis by failing to act as lender of last resort. With the help of the New Dealers this gave the US a ten-year Great Depression that only ended when the US started spending (and releasing business from regulation) in the run-up to World War II.

After World War II there was not a depression. But the dollar was kept at its pre-war value. The US government ran surpluses for a couple years, but managed to get the federal debt down from over 100 percent GDP down to 35 percent of GDP. I still don't know how they did it.

Then we had the Crash of 2008, when Little Ben Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, failed to act as lender of last resort when Lehman Brothers went south. Ben, oh Ben! Then with Barack Obama as president the federal government decided it was more important to do gubmint health care than to get the economy back on track. Thanks, Barack!

So here we are about to emerge from the tragedy of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the question is: how well will the federal government handle it, threading the needle between getting the economy back on track, avoiding inflation, and doing or not doing the massive agenda of the climate change religion?

How should the federal government thread the needle? Honestly, I don't have a clue. Except that I know that one thing to do is to put off the elimination of fossil fuels for now, and avoid new subsidies for "renewable energy." And I have a feeling that a President Trump, who knows a thing or two about debt, would do a better job than Joe Biden who, I suspect, literally knows nothing except how to play the game of politics, and will outsource economic policy to conventional-wisdom swamp creatures.

One thing from the post WWI German hyper-inflation. Stocks and gold did all right. Bitcoin? Wasn't invented yet.

Thursday, November 26, 2020

An Immigrant's Thanks to America

As I get older I appreciate more and more that life is a process of lucky breaks and of successfully dodging bullets.

What a lucky break that my dad, who worked in export for the British electrical manufacturer AEI (now defunct), and got sent out to Denver in 1965 to assist in a wacky electric generation project. 

And so I got to fly out from my first term at the University of Leeds in England to Denver in December of 1965. And I still remember the glorious Colorado dawn viewed from my parent's apartment on 8th & Clarkson on my first morning in the good old USA.

Then we headed out on 6th Avenue in my dad's 1955 Olds 88 and up into the Rocky Mountains on US 40. And so, as soon as I graduated from engineering school in 1968 I immigrated to the United States of America and became a citizen as soon as possible in 1975.

What a lucky break that, with my parents living in India in 1947 the Indians were too busy killing each other in "communal" riots over partition to worry about killing the imperialist Brits, and that we all got out alive in 1948 and returned to Britain.

What a lucky break that my mother, born and raised in Japan, got out in 1940 to "help" her sister with her new baby in Calcutta, India, a comfortable year before Pearl Harbor.

What a lucky break that my father, born and raised in St. Petersburg, Russia, got out in 1918 before the full force of Leninism and civil war could suck him up and destroy him.

Of course, the fact is that we are all the result of lucky breaks and dodged bullets, because if any one of a dozen events had gone the other way none of us would be here.

And so I look on the lucky breaks of my life and my ancestors and marvel.

And now I have six grandchildren, thanks to my two whip-smart accomplished daughters, and now I know that the meaning of life, the universe and everything, is grandchildren.

It's easy to get discouraged by the stolen election, by the Woke Reign of Terror, by the stupidities of Democratic governors imagining that you control an epidemic by keeping people out of churches, by the deficit, by the looming horrors of unfunded entitlements, by the blindness of the Great Reset and Building Back Better. All these inanities will cost us, although I expect they will cost me personally less than ordinary American commoners, to say nothing of "women and minorities hardest hit." And we will not get past the inanities and injustices of today until our liberal friends see disaster and ruin staring them in the face and the American people turn away from them with disgust and scorn.

But meanwhile on this Thanksgiving Day we are still Americans, the best people in the world. We still live in the United States of America, the best country in the world. 

And we ain't seen nothing yet.

Wednesday, November 25, 2020

Now Penguins are Getting Triggered

Sooner or later it had to happen. Penguins down at the South Pole would want into the fun and games of micro-aggressions and taking offence.

And now it has happened, reported by the lefty wizards at Vice.com. The special snowflake LGBT+ staffers at Penguin Random House are all in a twitter because Penguin is going to publish the sequel to the #1 best-seller 12 Rules. The new book is titled Beyond Order: 12 More Rules for Life.

(That title is interesting, because in my reductive Three Peoples theory, the middle people are the Responsibles, the people of Order, and the Creatives are the chaps trying to live beyond Order.)

They are all in a twitter because Peterson, who opposed the Canadian C-16 law on preferred pronouns, has become the preferred target of hate for Good Little Girls that Literally Know Nothing. Here is one foolish young thing quoted at Vice.

“He is an icon of hate speech and transphobia and the fact that he’s an icon of white supremacy, regardless of the content of his book, I’m not proud to work for a company that publishes him,” a junior employee who is a member of the LGBTQ community and who attended the town hall told VICE World News. 

It is bootless to get into their whiny girly complaints, except to note that women have a Culture of Complaint.

But obviously Penguin has missed an opportunity to Send a Message to its employees. Something like this:

Hey snowflakes! Get a clue! The whole point of non-fiction publishing is to get new ideas out there. Guess what! New ideas are almost always deeply unsettling to the defenders of conventional wisdom and the status-quo: evidently chaps and chapettes like you.

If you feel that you are not up to the challenge of living and working in the public square where uncomfortable ideas are bruited about by thinkers and writers that may not be quite out of the top drawer I invite you to hand in your resignation. You are not a good fit at Penguin.

Not only that, but any student of The Ruling Class by Gaetano Mosca would know that a sensible ruling class always allows room for upstarts from the lower classes. They bring much needed vigor into the ruling class and help it avoid decaying into a sterile aristocracy that is closed to new blood. A sensible ruling class also keeps the vapid twitterings of upper-class girls on its staff well in check.

I checked over to my pal Vox Day who is a severe critic of Peterson. Of course he is crowing, and offering a copy of his Jordanetics to the snowflakes.

My problem with Vox Day is that when he says something like this that Immanuel Kant was "wrong, completely wrong, and utterly wrong... And the Jungians are not merely wrong, they are mad" he is telling us that he does not understand the German Turn that more or less invented the modern world.

And all Kant said was that we cannot know things-in-themselves, but only appearances. What is so wrong with that?

Jordan Peterson is saying that if we understand Kant and then go through the whole German Turn to Jung then, well then the Jungian archetypes give us a cloudy window into the goings-on inside our unconscious mind. Then if we want to understand hierarchy as a way to reduce violence we should take a look at lobsters, which have been doing hierarchy for 350 million years. Then 12 Steps and Beyond Order: 12 More Steps to Life. Then the idea of the Sacrificial Hero who gives his life on the border between Order and Chaos so that others may live.

We are at an interesting moment in the history of the world. We have a ruling class that just stole an election so it could install a vapid ageing idiot as president. We have chaps like Vox Day still flapping around in the age when reason and logic were going to save the world. We have lefties and their silly snowflake adepts running around trying to stop free speech. We have a clueless health bureaucracy flapping around with terminal incompetence.

And then we have you and me and that fellow behind the tree that hope that we will survive the current madness until a time that the world gets a clue again.

Tuesday, November 24, 2020

Commoners and National Politics Since 1960

If the 2020 presidential election was stolen, that the Commoner's president was chucked out by the Gentry ruling class, it ain't the first time. Let's run a little narrative about the experience of US Commoners in national politics since 1960.

1960 - The election of Richard Nixon is stolen by Democratic machines in Illinois and Texas. Richard Nixon was born a Commoner: his dad ran a grocery store and gas station in Whittier, California after his ranch failed.

1963 - Right-wingers in Dallas are blamed for the assassination of President Kennedy by leftist Lee Harvey Oswald.

1974 - Commoner President Nixon, champion of the "silent majority," is hounded out of office for deeds that our Democratic friends do every day.

1980 - Candidate Ronald Reagan attracts "Reagan Democrats" to his campaign but all the best people dismisse him as a right-winger and an "amiable dunce." Ronald Reagan was born a Commoner: his dad was a salesman and his mother a member of the Disciples of Christ.

1986 - Deep state runs Iran Contra investigation to try to impeach President Reagan, but fails when Reagan plays Sergeant Schultz and remembers nothing.

1988 - Bush the elder promises "No New Taxes" but reneges, betraying his Commoner supporters.

1992 - Many Commoners desert President Bush and support third-party candidate H. Ross Perot and that helps elect Bill Clinton president.

1994 - With Newt Gingrich in the lead, Commoners elect the first Republican Congress in 40 years, helped by backlash against HillaryCare. Gingrich was born a Commoner: son of a teenage couple whose marriage broke apart within days.

2001 - Second President Bush appeals to patriotism and sends US Commoners to fight in endless Middle Eastern war.

2010 - Spontaneous Tea Party of Commoners arises, rebelling against left-wing agenda of President Obama and his Obamacare. Obama siccs little Lois Lerner on them to hinder their acquisition of tax-exempt status.

2016 - Son of millionaire Donald Trump -- who plays a Commoner on TV -- runs for president explicitly as the candidate of the Commoners. Hillary Clinton calls his supporters a "basket of deplorables." Obama administration spies on Trump campaign and interferes with transition by spying on Trump officials.

2020 - Entire ruling class, from media to social media billionaires to street "activists," runs against Trump, president of the Commoners, and probably steals the election.

As I review the narrative that I have written above, one thing seems to come out at me, something I wrote in my "Commoner Manifesto."

A spectre is haunting the liberal elite -- the spectre of the Commoners. All the powers of the liberal establishment have entered into a secular alliance to exorcise this spectre. Etc.

Am I right or am I right?

It seems to me that as we look back over the last 60 years, what we see is the gradual coming-into-focus of a genuine American Commoner movement. In the beginning, this movement was led by Commoners that had vaulted into the political class with luck and talent, but the movement did not seem to have legs without a leadership from on high.

I propose that in 2010, with the Tea Party, a new phase began, when Commoners organized themselves for political action without assistance from on high. A big "tell" for me was Nancy Pelosi's comment that the Tea Party was AstroTurf. Our Nance could not comprehend political action unless sponsored from on high.

I propose that in 2020 the Trump Car and Boat Parades are another organic self-organizing movement of Commoners. OK, I'm sure that it all had help from the Trump campaign. But something caught fire.

The question is whether this movement can continue without the inspiration and energy of Donald Trump. If he is defeated in the post-election shenanigans does he return triumphant at the head of a veritable army of deplorables? If he wins does the movement continue without the spur of humiliation and injustice?

My feeling is that the Commoners all across the western world are being screwed by the educated ruling class and its Gentry supporters, and they are all waking up to the fact of their domination by an unjust ruling class. This injustice is a result of the current administrative state and its "activism" partners extending a seductive offer to all members of the Gentry: jobs and power to flatter its ambition, its vanity, and its honor. The problem is that everything this unholy alliance does ends up screwing the ordinary Commoner. And it always involves the humiliation and the marginalization of the Commoner.

At some point the Commoners are bound to say: this far and no further. Have we already reached this point, or is it still in the future?

Monday, November 23, 2020

An Indictment of the Ruling Class

Reading the tone of the reporting of the election aftermath it looks like the usual suspects want President Trump to give up on the rather evidently stolen election.

Let's concede that, in the recounts and the Trump lawsuits that our Democratic friends will be able to cover up the dead bodies enough to get through to January 20 and the inauguration of Joe Biden.

But let us rehearse the Chris Chantrill narrative of why you ain't seen nothin' yet.

First of all, the cheating. Normal humans only start to cheat when things are going unexpectedly wrong. It can't be true that my business is losing money! It can't be true that the voters think they are getting screwed by the ruling class! So, a little thumb on the scales ought to get us through the current unpleasantness.

Second, the "deplorable phenomenon." Of course, ruling classes have always thought that the people they ruled were yahoos. Else why would the rulers be the rulers and the ruled the ruled? But the truth is that rulers tend to "overdetermine" their virtues, which are, after all, not universal but only present in a few exceptional individuals in the ruling class. The rest of it is ruling-class conceit. And so almost everything that a ruling class does is a manifestation of its conceit and its disdain for the lower orders.

Third, "the natives are restless." One of the points that Gaetano Mosca makes in The Ruling Class is that a good ruling class is always sensitive to the tides and passions among the masses. It knows that one of its biggest jobs is to keep the people more-or-less content. One of the strengths of the British colonial system was its recognition that when "the natives are restless" then the imperial regime needed to pay attention. But our ruling class has declared war on the basket of deplorables, because racist-sexist-homophobe, and counts it a virtue to humble and humiliate the plebs.

Fourth, naked self-dealing. Of course, a ruling class has to take care of its own, but any sensible ruling class knows that there are limits. In particular there is the injunction of the British actress Mrs. Patrick Campbell:

My dear, I don't care what they do, so long as they don't do it in the street and frighten the horses.

There are a whole bunch of issues on which the ruling class is indulging itself and making things a lot worse for the average Joe. As in

IssueRuling ClassCommoners
Climate changeJobs for gentrymakes energy more expensive.
EnvironmentalismJobs for gentrymakes houses more expensive.
FeminismGentry women
feel good
turns world upside down for
commoner women
Sexual RevolutionBit of fun in collegeturns world upside down for
commoner women
LGBTGentry gets creative
about sex
er, what?
Mortgage subsidiesIncreases value
of gentry homes
makes housing less affordable.
EducationInside track on
private ed.
puts education in hands of
teachers' unions.
Mass transitOK for gentry
neighborhoods
makes it harder for
suburb-to-suburb commuting.
Building codesEnforces gentry-
style luxury
makes housing more expensive
DiversityJobs for gentrydisfavors white working class
Student loansOK for professional
class
makes college unaffordable

The consequence of all these issues is that the educated ruling class soars above all the problems, because of various advantages, but the ordinary schmuck is left holding the baby.

My feeling is that our ruling class has literally no idea how it oppresses and exploits the ordinary Commoner American. The main reason is that the ruling-class's belief system, its religion, declares that the current ruling class of the educated gentry is the best thing since sliced bread.

But I like to use the "oppressed peoples, allies, and white oppressors" moral framework to show how deluded this is. First of all, just how oppressed are the blacks, Latinos, women, LGBTs supposed to be? Not very, I submit, because discrimination is illegal. And how oppressive are the white oppressors? Who are they, anyway? Since the whole educated class these days seems to be Democrats, down for the struggle, that leaves home builders, small business people, fundamentalist Christians, white males that drive trucks. And they are supposed to be powerful? And how noble are the "allies?" If you ask me, the allies are the people that have declared certain groups as oppressed, and other groups as oppressors, but they are the practically perfect people in every way with the power to make things right.

There's a famous saying, by Talleyrand:

He who has not lived in the eighteenth century before the Revolution does not know the sweetness of life and can not imagine that there can be happiness in life.

Yes. No doubt life is pretty sweet for our educated ruling class. But it ain't so sweet for many of the Commoners and even for the Clients of the ruling class. Maybe it doesn't matter.

Or maybe it does.