Thursday, March 15, 2007

Now There's an Inconvenient Truth About Africa

Who would have thunk it?  The government of Canada has issued a report on foreign aid to Africa, according to Jeremiah Norris, and the news is not good.  The Standing Senate Committee of Foreign Affairs and International Trade has issued a report and concluded that:

"Development assistance has been a holding pattern for Africa at best, and a direct facilitator of poor governance and economic mismanagement at worst."

 In numbers, “the per capita GNP in Sub-Saharan Africa [was] at 17.1% of the world average in 1965, falling to 9.7% in 2004.”

In other words, half a century of foreign aid has had zero positive effect on backward Africa.  In fact, it has probably damaged it.

Now what do you think the Canadian Senate committee proposed to do about this?

[Aid] donors should only give assistance to countries that are instilling a pro-growth business environment. Rather than a focus on providing social welfare programs, such as education, Canada should re-direct its assistance on economic development and agricultural productivity.

Moreover,

The Committee also concluded "that international development assistance is not the long-term answer for Africa. Vibrant economies and good governance are the answer for Africa. These are the conditions that can only be generated and sustained from within Africa, not from without."

This is unexceptional, of course.  It dovetails with research at the family level.  In The Millionaire Next Door, Thomas J. Stanley,William D. Danko write about the “economic outpatient care” (EOC) that many parents provide their adult children.  Adult children assisted in this way tend to work less and spend more than similar adults that lack EOC support.

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

Michael Novak on President Bush

The two hits on President Bus, writes RMC Chappie Michael Novak, is that he has lost the war and that his administration is incompetent.

Certainly, he has made mistakes on the war.  But

the president has now changed strategy, as well as the generals charged with pursuing it. He now has commanders who believe in victory and who, in fact, designed the way to get to it.

You can argue that the president’s strategy to keep as low a profile and let the Iraqis do it was a mistake, since it encouraged local warlords to step into the power vacuum.  But now the president has responded and changed.

The other argument is incompetence.  But let’s be realistic here.

A long-established lesson is that even in the best of times, government is mightily incompetent—and the bigger government gets, the more incompetent it becomes.

The buck stops here, and the president is responsible for every government mistake and miscue.  But let us not forget

the decisive steps President Bush took [after 9/11] allowed our economy not only to recoup the dreadful financial losses of September 11 but also to climb unparalleled heights.

We should not forget the recent epiphany of Theodore Dalrymple, in which he realized that the welfare state is built on the concept of failure, from top to bottom, and that its invariable response is to reinforce failure.

Of course if you believe, with President Bush and Michael Novak that “single most dominant issue we face remains the threat from jihadism,” then the question of whether we lose the battle of Iraq is a minor one. 

The ugly words broadcast by the jihadists may seem mad, but they are matched by steady actions upon a world-wide front. Their stated aim is to convert us forcibly to Islam or to exterminate us until the caliphate stretches around the world: one religion, one polity.

 If we believe that we are called to resist the militant surge of Islam then we have to do something about it. 


In response to the jihadist threat President Bush set out to bring democracy to the Middle East. You can say that he is having quite a struggle. But you can’t say he didn’t have a plan, and you can’t say that he just sat around twiddling his thumbs.

Earning the MSM's Trust

The mainstream media may be liberal, but you can still get a fair shake from them writes Bruce Bartlett.

More than that, “Major newspapers like The Post and New York Times are now pretty even handed in their news coverage” compared to the good old days back in the 1970s.  Of course the reporters are still liberal and the editorial pages decidedly so.  That goes without saying.

Years ago, Bartlett relates, when he was a young Capitol Hill aide, Republicans were taught always to return the calls of the media and always to deal straight with them.  There’s a payoff for this.

Over many years, I think I’ve earned the trust of a few top reporters at papers considered by conservatives to have a strong liberal bias. They will now take my word for things because I’ve never steered them wrong. These reporters have also told me of other people on both sides of the political spectrum that they will never trust or give a break to because they have lied or intentionally misled them.

 Of course, if the news coverage isn’t as reflexively liberal as it used to be, that means that it has moved to the right.  So when liberals complain of today’s coverage, they have a point.  From their point of view, it’s not as good as it used to be.

But liberals should stop whining and get a clue, advises Bartlett.  The fact is, they got lazy.

They just assumed the major media would automatically take their side, do hit jobs on conservatives and basically do their job for them.

So here’s some advice for our liberal friends.

You had a long free ride, and now it’s over. Get used to it, and learn how to use the media. Take a page from the conservative handbook and go around it. Figure out why talk radio works for conservatives and has dismally failed for liberals. Learn how to marshal facts and argue cogently instead of haranguing people and using ad hominem attacks on those who disagree.

On the other hand, if you prefer, don’t change.  Just keep on keeping on.  We won’t stop you.

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Gross? As $300 million?

We red-blooded American males have been suffering for years.  Denied our all-American heroes in the movies we have had lefty anti-heroes rammed down our throats for over a generation.  Our anti-hero way of rage against the Man and the machine or the highway, said Hollywood’s creative finest.

Or, to paraphrase a famous American: Anti-heroes yesterday, Anti-heroes today, Anti-heroes forever.

When the United States was savagely attacked by rich Saudi Muslims, we were taught to worry about “why they hate us.”  And Hollywood refused to provoke our moderate Middle-eastern friends.  You know the ones that don’t just want to bury us.  They want to kill us.  After all, we are only infidels.

So now along comes a bunch of schmucks nobody’s ever heard of — graphic novelist Frank Miller, director Zack Snyder, and a couple of other writers — to pull in $70 million over the weekend with a movie about a handful of brave warriors who stand up against the limitless central-Asian hordes, iron men vs. effeminate oriental voluptuaries, and patriots against robotic slaves. How was this picture allowed to be made?  

By now everyone knows that the movie “300” is not really a video-game style recreation of the battle of the Spartans against the Persians, but really...  Nod, nod, wink, wink, know-what-I-mean.

So scriptwriter David Kahane is conflicted.

Help me out here, because I’m having trouble wrapping my mind around a few things: When, early in the film, a sneering Persian emissary insults King Leonidas’s hot wife, threatens the kingdom, and rages about “blasphemy,” the king kicks him down a bottomless well. And yet nobody in Sparta asks, “Why do they hate us?” and seeks to find common ground with the Persians on their doorstep. Why not?

Does that mean he can now write scripts about true American heroes smiting the mind-numbed robots of the world’s thugocrats?  Or is it back to Nazis and crazed Christian militias?

Romney bets on tax cuts to win

What will it take to win the Republican nomination for president in 2008?  Mitt Romney seems to be placing a bet on tax cuts, reports Donald Lambro.  He recently addressed the Detroit Economic Club. 

"What is the better course for America? A European model of high taxes and regulations, or low taxes and free trade, the Ronald Reagan model? That’s the choice the next president is going to make," he said, adding ominously that the Democrats were "already working hard to implement a massive tax increase."

 As the saying goes, if Republicans don’t stand for tax cuts, who will?

Romney is not just giving speeches about tax cuts, he is loading up his team with tax cutters.

  • Vin Weber, “who is chairman of Mr. Romney’s domestic policy board”
  • Cesar Conda, “a key player in Republican tax cut battles of the last two decades”
  • R. Glenn Hubbard, a “staunch tax cutter”
  • N. Gregory Mankiw, “a free market economist at Harvard” 
  • John Cogan, “one of the architects of the Bush tax cut plan.” 
  • Brian Reardon, “helped put together the president’s 2003 plan to accelerate the tax cuts”

What do you call a team like that?  Lambro calls them “committed Reaganite supply-siders.”

Monday, March 12, 2007

The New "Time": Big and Brawny?

For many of us, it is years since we subscribed to Time magazine.  Maybe decades.  Why?  Is it the reflexive media liberalism?  Is it the dumbed-down punchiness, the emphasis on graphics?  Or is it the fundamental unseriousness?  Who knows?

But this week, Time is redesigning into four basic sections: “Briefing, The Well, Ideas and Arts,”according to Keith J. Kelly at the New York Post. The “Well” will be, well, read for yourself:

The Well will be home for features, what Stengel calls "big, brawny stories" on world, national and business affairs and the main cover story.

Doesn’t exactly make you run out and buy it.  What is it now? A truck?  Do we hear the clang of hammers on anvils?

For Katharine Q. Seelye at The New York Times it’s all a bit of a joke—the end of Time’s signature inverted syntax.

All I know is that my mother asked what to do about Time about five years ago, when she just couldn’t take it any more.  Try The Economist, I said. 

Japanese Day Traders Try "Carry" Trade

Remember 1999-2000?  That was the heyday of the day traders, amateurs trying their hand at making money in the stock market during their coffee breaks at work.  It was an early warning of the NASDAQ meltdown: when the little guy gets in, it’s time to head for the exits.

It’s happened before.  In 1929 Joe Kennedy (yes that Joe Kennedy) reckoned it was time to get out of the market when his shoe-shine boy started giving him stock tips.

It’s deja vu all over again.  In Friday’s Wall Street Journal Yuka Hayashi writes about "Japanese Addiction: Currency Bets" (sub. required).  A lot of Japanese small investors are borrowing yen to buy foreign currency.  In other words, they are engaging in the "carry" trade just like the big boys in the hedge funds.

Only, of course, we are probably in the last days of the "carry" trade.  It worked so long as people could borrow yen at nearly zero percent interest and then use the proceeds to buy other currencies and get five percent on their money.

But notice what happens if the yen goes up.  That means that the other currency goes down.  If it goes down by five percent or more, the investor is under water.

Take the case of Naomi Kashiwazaki.  Hayashi writes:

She trades currencies from her small apartment in Tokyo’s suburbs.  She started about a year and a half ago to supplement the income from her online store... In recent months, she has earned an average profit of $8,600 per month.

But probably not in the last month, for since March 1 the yen has suddenly risen by about four percent against the dollar.

This sounds like something that is going to end in tears.