Wednesday, December 26, 2007

Is There a Conservative Future?

In this time of conservative discontent, seers and pundits are peering into the future. Will there be a conservative coalition in the future, they wonder?


Conservative pundit Tony Blankley takes a look, and wonders what it would take to keep a majority coalition going.


It would have to hold almost all of its Reagan coalition plus gain the support of at least 40 percent of the growing Hispanic vote.


And that is a tall order, considering that it usually takes at least a generation for US immigrants to become unhyphenated Americans that vote for the American party rather than the Identity party.


All that assumes that the conservatives can keep the Reagan Democrats and social conservatives. And that is pretty uncertain. If economic hard times come then expect the economically insecure to return to the Democratic Party. Says Blankley:


Although the economy remains strong, the public’s economic anxiety about the future has been building steadily during the past half-decade.

Gold stars all round to the MSM for that.


It is precisely these kinds of economic fears that Mike Huckabee is talking to... I think it is highly likely the Republican Party (as the presumed continuing vehicle for a right-of-center coalition) will have to talk persuasively to the growing economic anxiety.


Can we do it? Can we persuade the economically insecure that the worst thing they could do would be to throw in their lot with the economically Neanderthal Democrats?


It’s a challenge, at the very least.


At least history in on our side. The last two times the economy went south, in the 1930s and in the 1970s, the Democrats completely screwed up the economy (with help, it must be admitted, from the Republicans.)

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