What is happening in Iraq? With Sunnis appearing to be ready to cry Uncle and end their insurgency, the Shias are beginning to reel in their death squads, the chaps who have been retaliating against Sunni outrages by killing Sunnis.
StrategyPage reports that
the Shia are ready to fight their own, and in the last week, Shia and Kurdish police and soldiers fought Shia radicals, led by men like Abu Deraa.
I’ve been reading about Germany after its defeat in 1918. It’s an amazing story of the stolid Majority Socialists trying to hold the country together while the Independent Socialists and Spartacus whack-jobs were trying to replicate the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917.
There was no army for several months after the Armistice in November 1918, yet the revolutionary left failed to get the German people to make revolution. And the government, such as it was, moved rapidly to set up a democratic election to create a constitutional assembly two months after the collapse of the Kaiser’s regime.
Imagine that. Friedrich Ebert, head of the government by virtue of the previous Chancellor, Prince Max of Baden, saying “you’re it,” without an army, with the German Army melted away, organizes Germany’s first democratic election and Constitutional Assembly. All in two months while the lefty whack-jobs like Rosa Luxemburg and Karl Liebknecht are trying to work the German workers up into bloody revolution.
The Iraqis aren’t the Germans. But considering that the Iraqis have elected a constitutional assembly, have elected a legislature, now have an elected government in place, and have an army that is rapidly gaining effectiveness, a student of history would have to say that is growing rapidly more and more difficult to imagine the insurgency destroying the power of the current government.
If, as StrategyPage says, the Shias are starting to move against their own radicals, it is beginning to look as if Bush’s policy is working.
No comments:
Post a Comment