Mann's Social Power Meets Novak's Three Sectors

I was over to Half Price Books yesterday and stumbled across a two volume set by Michael Mann on Social Power.

No, not that Michael Mann. This is a sociology prof. at UCLA. And his magnum opus is The Sources of Social Power, Vol 1, Vol. 2, Vol. 3, Vol. 4.

The big idea is to analyze human history through the lens of four competing power factors: ideology, economic, military, political. As in IEMP.

This, of course, is almost exactly the analytical framework of Michael Novak in The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism. Novak divides the social world into three sectors: political, economic, and moral/cultural. The difference between the two is that Mann wants to divide the political sector into two, because he sees that the military can be, and often is, a separate power sector from the political.

Also, Mann clearly operates from a lefty perspective, and Michael Novak is a former lefty. Mann's books start from the "beginning" and analyze the interplay of the four power factors throughout history. Novak's book is an apology for a greater separation of powers between the various power sectors.

So what does it all add up to? Well, I don't know yet, because I haven't read Mann. But here's a gloss by an adept of Mann, G. William Domhoff, a UC Santa Cruz prof. who runs a website called "Who Rules America?" about how "the wealthy few... defeating all of their rivals (e.g., organized labor, liberals, environmentalists) over the course of the past 35 years."

I know. If only. Because if you are like me you think that organized labor, liberals, environmentalists, and social justice warriors have eaten the corporate rich for lunch. The only way to escape the humiliation visited on the Koch Brothers is to kiss the liberal ring like Warren Buffett and Tom Steyer and contribute to Democratic coffers. Then you too can become a successful crony capitalist.

Here's an example of Domhoff's approach in "The Four Networks Theory of Power: A Theoretical Home for Power Structure Research".

As for the many wars in which the United States has been involved since 1949, they were decided upon by elected officials and by corporate leaders appointed to important positions in the state and defense departments, not by military leaders itching for a fight. The 2003 invasion of Iraq is a perfect example. It was the product of assertive nationalists like Vice President Richard Cheney and Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, both former corporate CEOs, and the neoconservative ideologues they brought with them to government from right-wing think tanks.

The only problem with this is that Dick Cheney and Don Rumsfeld were and are politicians. Their sojourns as corporate CEOs were merely pauses in their political careers to make a little money. Their value to the corporations they headed was their political clout -- for corporations that needed clout. Cheney served Halliburton, a global oil-services company, and Rumsfeld served G.D. Searle, a drug company.

It was possible to think of corporations as a new and frightening phenomenon in the mid 1900s. But by 1910 they had been definitely tamed. No corporate bigwig could survive and prosper without kissing the ring of the political sector.

The history of the last 100 years makes that clear. The political sector keeps putting on demonstrations of power, just to be on the safe side: first the Standard Oil breakup, then the humbling of auto and steel with collective bargaining laws, then the IBM anti-trust suit, then the Microsoft anti-trust suit.

Today's headline corporations like Google and Apple know exactly what side their bread is buttered, and they keep themselves properly aligned with today's political and ideological ruling class, the educated ruling class of well-born liberals.

Still, it's going to be interesting delving into Michael Mann's books. His work will provide a different perspective from the excellent Michael Novak.

Economic Policy After Obama

It's said that the American people are ready for a different economic policy after the six years of sub-par growth under Obama. That is nice.

Problem is that the American people don't have a clue about what economic policy creates prosperity. Exhibit "A" is minimum wage. The American people are for it.

Problem is that the science is pretty well settled on this, except among a few labor economists. Minimum wage creates unemployment, particularly among uneducated, inexperienced young single males.

But the American people think that, absent robust growth, the way to get a bigger check from their employer is by force. By the government holding a gun to the head of their employer.

Hey, no surprise there. Most Americans earn their living as employees or as government beneficiaries. They do not really live in the market economy. They live in an administered world, the world of the corporate bureaucracy, the government bureaucracy and the client of the powerful patron.

Trouble is that the feudal system got its marching orders centuries ago. It is not subordination but exchange that makes the world go round. It is individuals responsibly trying to serve their fellow humans in market exchange that undergirds our prosperity.

I like to say that the moment that this truth got established beyond a shadow of a doubt was in 1921 when the German General von Seeckt decreed that the German army now needed individual soldiers who were "self-reliant, self-confident, dedicated, and joyful in taking responsibility."

Here's an article listing the five things wrong with the economy. They are:

1. Poorly enforced trade agreements.
   
2. Misguided energy policies.
   
3. Burdensome government regulations and taxes.
   
4. Corruption and monopolies.
   
5. Disincentives to work, poorly run universities and immigration.

Fixing these five problems will go a long way to fixing the slow-growth economy After Obama.

The thing is, all these things are Holy Writ to Obama and the liberals. Energy? We gotta fight global warming! Regulation and taxes? You want unsafe working conditions! Corruption and monopolies? What about those Koch Brothers! Disincentives to work? You got no compassion for the poor and the marginalized!

My point is that we can have a Republican president and Congress that pass legislation to make a start on fixing this, but that won't even make a start on educating the American people to the real source of their prosperity.

The cunning of lefty "community organizer" politics is that you can always angry up people into a froth of rage and hate. Everyone has a complaint against society, from Warren Buffett down to the family of the dead teenager in Ferguson, Missouri.

But the point of the society of responsible individualism is that we agree not to resort to politics to settle our differences. Instead we accept the verdict of the market. Which is short for accepting the verdict of our fellows. Which means that there are no excuses.

The great tragedy of our time is that the very people that advertise their dedication to Peace and Justice are the very people that insist on a political solution to every problem.

But politics is division; government is force. The more politics you have, the less Peace and the less Justice. That's why, in the hyper-political Obama administration division has increased and inequality has risen. Politics sets "us" against "them" and government mostly sides with the powerful and the status quo.

Still, there is only one thing to do, and that is to make a start.

David Hume: In Media Res

I finally got to attend my class at the University of Washington on The Philosophy of Hume on Monday. Right in the middle of the whole question of Cause and Effect.

In media res. Just like an mythical epic, which always starts in the middle.

Cause and Effect. That's the Big Idea in Hume. You think there is such a thing as Cause and Effect, that when you see your friend throw a stone into the lake that there will be a splash. You are just assuming that because it happened last time it will happen this time. But you don't know that there will be a splash.  You just assume it, based on previous experience.

As Hume writes in A Treatise of Human Nature:

An object may be contiguous and prior to another without being consider'd as its cause. (1.3.2.11)

But that means nothing unless there is a NECESSARY CONNECTION. And Hume goes on to argue by reason that you can never prove a necessary connection.

The prof. in the class points out that there's a little problem here. If it's legitimate to argue about external "cause and effect" by the internal "cause and effect" of rational argument why isn't the same true of observation? What is the proper extent of the rule of reason?

Hume thinks he can confirm his doctrine by reference to animals. He does this to discredit the idea that we humans make a rational act when we declare that a certain Cause has a following Effect. The point is, he argues in 1.1.16, is that animals do the same thing we do with cause and effect, but they do it by instinct rather than self-conscious reasoning.

From the tone of voice the dog infers his master's anger, and foresees his own punishment. From a certain sensation affecting his smell, he judges his game not to be far distant from him.(1.3.16.6)

Hume is arguing what for the operation of what would be called a century later the "unconscious." We and the animals unconsciously link events together and experience it as cause and effect.

Beasts certainly never perceive any real connection between objects. 'Tis therefore by experience they infer one from another. They can never by any arguments from a general conclusion, that those object, of which they have no experience, resemble those of which they have. 'Tis therefore by means of custom alone, that experience operates upon them.(1.3.16.8)

 But when we make a rational decision to infer one event from another, using the "conscious" mind, do we have any additional warrant for that decision? Or are we just dressing up our experience with the name of reason?

Will anyone believe Hume, he wonders? At the beginning of 1.3.10 On the influence of belief he channels the 20th century Thomas Kuhn, he of "normal science" and the "paradigm shift." Writes Hume:

[A]ll systems... are apt to be rejected at first as new and unusual. This will perhaps be the fate of what I have here advanc'd concerning belief, and our reasonings from cause to effects... I expect not to make many proselytes to my opinion.

Yeah, well. I'm sorry Dave, I'm afraid I can't believe that. If nothing else, Dave, you woke dear old Immanuel Kant out of his dogmatic slumber.  And the consequences of that, at least, are immeasurable as the cause and effect of stone-throwing.

Men and Work: The Image You'll Never Forget

Last week I read a piece about the decline of the culture -- or something -- but it included a chart that I can't get out of my mind. I can't find the article, but I did find the chart at the website of the St. Louis Fed.

It's a chart about men and work. Specifically, it's the percent of men actually working, the "Employment-Population Ratio." Actually, it's the percent of men actually working.

Back in the early 1950s the ratio was about 84 percent. In the 1960s it was about 77 percent. Now it's just under 65 percent. Here's the chart.

Do you see what is going on? Every time there is a recession a bunch of men get bounced out of work. And a big chunk of them NEVER WORK AGAIN. Here's the original chart at St. Louis FRED.

The only recession where this didn't happen was the Reagan Recession of 1981-82. But look at the 1990 recession. It started with 73 percent of men working, dropped to 70 percent and ended up in 2000 with 72 percent working. So about one percent of the male workers NEVER WORKED AGAIN. After the 2000 recession the rate dropped to 69 percent and just go back to 70 percent before the Great Recession. So about two percent of men workers NEVER WORKED AGAIN. The Great Recession of 2007-09 hammered men in what we call the Mancession all the way down to 64 percent at work. Today it's back to 65 percent. So we can say that after the Great Recession FOUR PERCENT of male workers NEVER WORKED AGAIN.

I don't know what you think. But I think this is huge. Never mind teaching men not to rape. Never mind about ISIS. Never mind about racism. Never mind about the deficit. Never mind about My Social Security or My Medicare or any of the thousand and one free-stuff programs.

Let's think about this. Since the 1950s, each recession has thrown something like one to four percent of male workers out of work and most of those thrown out of work NEVER WORKED AGAIN.

Something is very wrong in America, and we'd better figure out what it is.

Before it's too late.

It's Not Time for Reading Books, It's Time for Action

With the ruin of the Obama presidency we have arrived at what President Obama likes to call a “teachable moment.” So finally, writes Bill Kristol, we can get the kids to go read a book: Hayek on intellectual conceit, James Q. Wilson on bureaucracy, Banfield on the city, Churchill on war, Orwell on the obvious, Lewis on chests. Not to mention his dad on “unanticipated consequences.”

But really, what good will it do?

Karl Marx on Feuerbach: “Philosophers have hitherto only interpreted the world in various ways; the point is to change it."

When the Marxist predictions had clearly failed by the end of World War I, the Frankfurt School refounded the Marxian movement as “critical theory.” In Max Horkheimer's notion critical theory attempts "to liberate human beings from the circumstances that enslave them.”

Then Habermas defined critical theory as devoted to “a form of life free from unnecessary domination in all its forms.”

Hello? Unnecessary domination? How about this:

Government dominating parents with divisive government education
Government dominating workers with government entitlements
Government dominating physicians and patients with government healthcare
Government dominating workers with unjust taxes on labor
Government dominating students with unjust student loans
Government dominating business with unjust regulations on free exchange of goods and services

And let's not forget our favorite little liberal darlings:

Social justice warriors trying to dominate everyone in sight.

I could go on.

But the point is that the time for reading books is over. The human race has had cogent and understandable diagnoses of the last century's big government cancer for ages. Now it's time to treat the patient, before the disease of big government kills it.

Here, for example, is a young woman in Time of all places telling her cohort that it's crazy to go $30,000 into debt when “you probably could have gotten your education/accounting/psychology degree at a much more affordable university closer to home.”

Yet millions of twentysomethings deep in debt are standing around meekly serving overpriced coffee drinks to other twentysomethings. If they read anyone it's probably Naomi Klein.

I will tell you why. It is because conservatives are too busy reading books. Instead, conservatives should be organizing the wretched of the Obama earth and getting them plenty mad.

That is Marx's great insight. His idea of “class” was that people form a class when they organize for political struggle around an idea that they are oppressed and exploited by some other group.

Now, we know that the core components of the Emerging Democratic Majority are getting restless after six years of Obama. Women, minorities, educated, youth: all of these voters that were going to keep the Democrats in power for a generation are falling off.  Why? Because liberalism is a crock. It's the wet dream of an educated elite that thinks that society is something for them to organize into proper ranks and files. Or, as Jonah Goldberg writes:

Liberalism, as an ideology, insists that government can do good and great things for the people and the world if the people running the government are smart liberals.

Now liberals are big on psychology. So they probably know there's a category in psychopathology for people that think that the world would work if only they could rule it.

Meanwhile, median income is going down. Yay, kids! Under Obama inequality is going up!

It reminds me of the Clinton campaign's famous catchphrase from 1992: “everything that should be down is up; everything that should be up is down.” And that was after the mildest recession since World War II. Worst economy in 50 years, the Clintons called it.

What do you call the sixth year of the worst economic recovery since whenever? Time for a change or time for a revolution? Yet the only people in the streets are the blacks of Ferguson and Robert F. Kennedy and his People's Climate March.

Liberals are in the position of climate warmist Kevin Trenberth, who emailed hockey pro Michael E. Mann on October 12, 2009 to say:

The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.

It's great that liberals are hopelessly at sea with their conceit that we rubes should leave climate to the smart liberals. No doubt there are similar emails about the economy that have now been carefully destroyed by the IRS.

Forget about teaching the kids to read conservatives. How about we form the ordinary middle class into a class that experiences itself as oppressed and exploited on the one hand by fatally conceited liberals and on the other by terminally dependent government clients. Then we do something about it.

This is not a time for reading; this is a time for doing.

The Liberal Ideal Versus the Reality

Really, things could not be better for conservatives. Everything about the Obama administration is in ruins. And in a month there will be a midterm election.

Of course if we had a non-partisan media there would be a hurricane of Obama and Reid blaming, just like in the good old days of Blame Bush in 2006. With that kind of wind behind us we might count Democrats in the House in double digits and the Senate in single digits in January.

But our media is composed mainly of Democratic operatives with bylines, so the Obama blaming is kinda muted, just like the Carter blaming back in 1978-79 was all about the notion that you couldn't really blame the president because things were so complicated that nobody could be expected to master them.

Jonah Goldberg has a piece about Obama failure. In the best of all possible worlds

Liberalism, as an ideology, insists that government can do good and great things for the people and the world if the people running the government are smart liberals.

But the people running the government aren't all smart liberals. There are, for example, government unions. There is, for example the fact that the annual dismissal rate for federal government workers is 0.25%, i.e., not one in four, or one in forty, but one in four hundred. So, on Obama's watch, of course

we’ve seen horrifying incompetence, malfeasance, or skullduggery at the Department of Veterans Affairs, Immigration and Customs Enforcement, the IRS, DOJ, GAO, and HHS. 

Liberals may not like that sort of thing, but, as Jonah says, you have to dance with the girl what brung you. And that means liberals have to dance with the activists, the bureaucrats, and the Daily Show viewers what voted for them.

The problem is quite simple. It is just not enough to talk about hope and change and design a cool system to, e.g., create affordable health care. The question is, what happens when you hit your first brick wall and things start to go wrong?  What do you do then? When health insurance rates go up at double-digit rates after you promised they'd go down. When the Obamacare website is a disaster. When a mere 8 million sign up for Obamacare? When the health care system from CDC downwards botches the first Ebola case in the US?

We know what happens. Nothing. Or the government leaders blame some scapegoat.

When something goes wrong you want to have people empowered to do something about it, to figure out what went wrong, to fix the problems, and to list the lessons learned. But that is not how government works.

You get a high-octane look at this as Jürgen Habermas, in a transitional book Legitimation Crisis, 1973, tries to blame "late capitalism" for the problems of the world. He writes about "administrative planning" and "the state's responsibility as a global planning authority" and "limits of administrative capacity". He cannot exclude the idea that the administrative system might allow a "compromise path between competing claims" and allow a "sufficient amount of organizational rationality."

But that's the point. An administrative system is like a mechanical system, only designed for one job. What's needed is an organism with infinite adaptability.

Every piece of legislation amounts to a compromise between the competing claims of the special interests. But then what? Then you have an administrative system cast in concrete to execute on the Compromise of 2010 for the next forever.  Social Security was the Compromise of 1935. Medicare was the Compromise of 1965. The problem is that each of these Compromises have become holy shrines and any attempt to modify them is anathematized as the desecration of the holy place, a sacrilege.

The joke is that nobody expects government to perform. We tolerate an education system that doesn't educate, and welfare system that sinks people into generational dependence and we act as though nothing can be done. But if Apple doesn't bring out new and better iPhones every year with quantum leaps in functionality it's considered a scandal.

The fact is that government just cannot do anything that needs flexibility, adaptability and a quick response to problems. It takes enormous energy just to get it to do the simplest things badly.

The joke is that we have a system that is designed for flexibility, adaptability, and instant response to problems. It is called capitalism.

But the problem is that capitalism doesn't provide a starring role for a ruling class. And for that our liberal masters will never forgive it.

The TImes are Out of Joint

Hey, Mr Ebola Zero went to the hospital a week ago with a fever, told them he was from Liberia, and they sent him home.

A man entered the White House and overpowered two female agents before being stopped by an off-duty agent. Now the female head of the Secret Service has resigned, and the Secret Service is in turmoil.

Obamacare is so successful that hospitals are hiring off-network physicians in their ERs so people get to pay out-of-pocket for their ER-visit. Hospital is in-network but doctor isn't. And new enrollees for Medicaid are finding a dickens of a problem getting to see a doctor.

Oh and Islamic warriors are running wild in the Middle East.

In other words, the bureaucratic state is screwing up left and right. Hey voters!  You gotta problem with that, or are you gonna keep voting Democrat to keep those checks coming?

But what will you do when the checks stop coming?

In my view, the big problem is women voters.  Women vote for big government because they vote for the things they need to raise their children, things like education and health care.

Trouble is, government is lousy at doing education and delivering health care. See Ebola Zero above.

I don't know when the women voters are going to get the plot. Usually, it's too late, because women are too trusting. In other words, when a man says Trust Me, whether a lover, a husband, a politician, whatever, they tend to believe him until it's too late.  I don't say that in a sexist way, oh no.  I suspect that women have to be programmed that way, because Darwin.

Anyway, I'd say that the American people are in the middle of getting a wake-up call, big time.

The wake-up call basically says that everything you hear from liberals is focus-group tested rubbish.

Truth is that the authoritarian bureaucratic state is a mess and it always has been. That's because it pays people to sit around and play bureaucratic games with each other. To get people to do real work and respond to other peoples' needs you have to get them out of bureaucracies and make them responsible for results.

None of this is rocket science, but people rather like just sitting around and getting a paycheck. They prefer it to actually working for a living.