Wednesday, January 7, 2009

If Ann Coulter Didn't Exist...

Exactly. We’d have to invent her. And if liberals didn’t have such pompous thin skins, Ann Coulter wouldn’t have a job.

The flap over Ann Coulter and her new book, Guilty: Liberal "Victims" and Their Assault on America is par for the course. Liberals cannot help getting all riled up when Coulter comes into the room.

Did NBC “ban” Coulter from its airwaves? Or did they put her off for a day because of the important Gaza conflict? Who knows; who cares?

But we do know that liberals hate everything about Ann Coulter and everything she writes.

Oh yes, of course. Her humor is “sophomoric.” No doubt that’s why she is so popular with college conservatives. Someone has to do the sophomoric humor. There’s a market for that sort of stuff, you know. With liberals it involves a lot of f-words and s-words. For conservatives it makes much more sense to make fun of liberals.

You have to say that Harry Smith’s pompous interview of Coulter on CBS was iconic, as media critic Brent Bosell demonstrates.

Harry Smith hosted Maher on CBS just months ago on his faith-mocking movie "Religulous" and didn’t say one discouraging word to him about his caustic remarks about Cheney or his hateful anti-Christian bigotry. Not one word.

But with Coulter, it’s another tone completely.

[Smith] called her "goofy," "simplistic," "sophomoric" and a "whiner." "You should have a cross," he said dismissively. "You should put yourself up on a cross."

And on Hannity and Colmes when Coulter indicted liberals for attacking the nuclear family and encouraging single-parent families, Alan Colmes asked her why she wasn’t married.

Warning to conservatives: Don’t you try that. Conservatives aren’t allowed to make sexist comments like that: “Why aren’t you married?” It could be career ending for you. And not just in the liberal media.

While we are at it, let’s put up Ellwood and Jencks 2004. It tells you what liberals have done to America.

Never forget. Liberals did that. Liberals deprived millions of children of the right to have a mother and a father. At home. With them where they live.

Why the Culture War Matters

Why is it that performers at cultural events seem to think it is ok to make politicized comments, as Jay Nordlinger notes?


The indefatigable Mark Steyn takes a stab at it.

Liberalism is the default mode of the culture — to the point where the left-of-center position is so pervasive it’s no longer a position at all, but rather something uncontentious, received wisdom, part of the air we breathe.


Yes, he says, people from Hollywood sidle up to him and say “how much they agree with my book but please don’t mention it to anyone.” But so what?
The trouble is that there is no payoff from people sidling up to you. Crypto-conservatives are just that: hidden. When the culture is default center-left then you can expect most people to be default center-left.


If the non-political sphere is permanently left-of-center — the movies, the pop songs, the plays, the sitcoms, the newspapers plus the churches, schools and much else — it’s simply unreasonable to expect people to walk into a polling booth every other November and vote conservative. The culture is where the issues get framed and the boundaries set.


There’s a good argument to make that there is a pretty substantial rejectionist front out there, people who are disgusted with the cultural liberalism and determined to do something about it. Then there are those who are naturally conservative in their habits and who just do not like the rude, crude culture of Hollywood and liberal politics but just sit there and do nothing.

Right now the conservative orientation is a subculture and doesn’t look to be making much progress any time soon. If you are a kid in college, the default youth culture is the licentious liberal culture of the hookup and girls gone wild. If you are a women working in government the default culture is feminist multiculturalism that celebrates Halloween but mumbles about “holidays” during the Christmas season.


It won’t change until we do something about it.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

A Good Year for Climate "Deniers"

The whole point about being a conservative is to stand against liberal group-think. Who knows? Liberals may end up being right on everything. But why do they all have to act like the Japanese under their emperor Hirohito: A hundred million hearts beating as one?


The science is in. The earth is dangerously overheating. We must act now. All that liberal group-think on climate just sticks in a conservative’s craw.

And now it is beginning to look as though something is changing in the earth’s climate. Temperatures are down.

It looks like we are getting two La Ninas in a row. It looks like the oceans are flipping from a warm cycle to a cool cycle. And Michael Mann’s Hockey Stick, the graph that shows stable temperatures over the last millennium suddenly shooting into the stratosphere in the last century, is slowly disappearing into Stephen McIntyre’s wood chipper.


Here are a couple of end-of-year pieces from another denier website, Watts Up With That:

First, there’s All Quiet on the Solar Front, an analysis of the much-extended Solar Minimum. There’s a strong suggestion that when sunspots are absent from the sun then the earth’s climate gets cooler. With the current Solar Minimum betwen Cycle 23 and Cycle 24 going on and on, we are going to get a lot of solar data from all the satellites that have been launched in the last generation to record the doings on the Sun.


Then there’s the curious case of the Decline in the Solar Geomagnetic Ap Index. It suddenly dropped in 2005 and has continued to decline since then. What does that mean?


For us climate deniers, there are troubling questions about the science of global warming. Our modern climate scientists are not amateur scientists like Charles Darwin laboring away in his country estate. They are closely connected with politicians who are pushing a large-scale political project to “do something” about global warming. They have obligingly developed a lot of science to provide “corroborative detail designed to give verisimilitude to an otherwise bald and unconvincing narrative,” to quote the Lord High Executioner from Gilbert and Sullivan’s Mikado.


But when statistical experts like Stephen McIntyre start to analyze the work of climate scientists, it all starts to look pretty rocky. The corroborative detail turns out to be not that good.


In the coming years, the deniers are predictive a triple threat of a possible extended sunspot minimum combined with cool phases in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. That’s denier-speak for Little Ice Age.

Are the deniers on to something? Or are we just as dumb and blinkered as the bribed apologists of Al Gore?

Saturday, January 3, 2009

Voters Think Dems are "Center Right"

You gotta give President-elect Obama credit. He managed to get the voters to think that the Democrats are a center-right party. That’s some achievement. And voters think that the Republican Party is a hard-right party. That’s according to a poll by Target Point Consulting discussed Wednesday by Stephen Moore.


[S]ays [pollster Alex] Lundry. "Democrats are seen as a center-right party, while Republicans are seen as dominated by the right."


I know what you are thinking. If only. Heck, if the Democrats truly were center-right we could give up on the limping, wounded GOP and join the parade. Liberals could desert the Democrats and create a Huffington-Kos Party, and the rest of us could live happily ever after.


Still, the key base of the Republican Party shrank in 2008. White males were for Bush by 24 points in 2004 and that gap closed to 16 points in 2008. You can see why. White males are instinctively center-right, and when Obama came through as the candidate most likely to give Americans a tax cut, well...


What about white women? McCain won them 53 to 46 percent, according to David Paul Kuhn in Politico, probably because of Sarah Palin.


Here are the spreads, updated from a variety of polls, using Jay Cost’s data from 1996-2004.




Republican Margin of Victory/Defeat:

Selected Demographic Groups


1996-2008

1996200020042008
White Men+9+24+25+16
White Women-5+1+11+7
African Americans-72-81-77-95
Hispanics-51-27-9-36
Overall-8.5-0.5+2.4-7

So what does it all mean? It means that, just as Karl Rove knew in 2000 and 2004, the future lies with the Hispanics.


And the future also lies with defining the Republican Party as center right, which is what it really is, and defining the Democratic Party as center left. Which is what it really is.


And one more thing. The Republican Party is the party of tax cuts. Really.


UPDATE: Pollster Alex Lundry emails to say he was misquoted. Voters think that
the Dems are a center-LEFT party, after all. What a pity! I thought there was
strategic opening here. So the only opportunity is to move the voters
towards thinking that the GOP is really a mushy center-right party instead of
the Democrats’ favorite image of a party dominated by racist, sexist rich-bitch homophobes.

Thursday, January 1, 2009

The Conservative View from 2008

Because so much happened in 2008 on such an epic scale, it is hard to know what it means.


Take the election of Barack Obama to be President of the United States. Is this primarily the election of the first African American president? Or just the election of yet another Harvard Law School grad, the liberal elite taking care of business?


What about the epic collapse in the credit markets? Will this result in a ratchet upwards in political control of the economy? Or will it cause the politicians to lower the risks in the credit market by reducing the amount of subsidy for highly-leveraged borrowing?


What about the eruption of Sarah Palin and Joe the Plumber? Conservatives loved them and liberals hated them. What is that all about? Does it mean that the Republican Party has become a party of the yahoo white working class? Or does it mark the decisive turn of the party towards aspirational America?


What we all do in exciting times is project our hopes and fears upon the climactic events. Conservatives hope for a conservative renaissance; liberals hope for the birth of another FDR era of Democratic dominance. And both sides propose their standard solutions. Conservatives say we need tax cuts; liberals say we need stimulus spending. Nothing has changed since the Reagan revolution of 1981.


While we worry about our jobs and our 401ks, the real story will probably be told in India and China. Let’s assume that the US will struggle through the meltdown and emerge in a year into a decent economic rebound. But China and India may experience much more turmoil that we do in the US. If all goes well, they will emerge as economic, cultural, and political powerhouses. If things go wrong, and they might easily do so, then there will be untold misery for hundreds of millions, and doubtless wars of frightful ferocity.


But what about the threat of Islamic extremism? It’s a problem, but I regard it as a similar problem to the ruthless revolutionaries in the west in the tradition of Lenin, Hitler, Mao, Castro, and Che. The Muslim extremists will be a problem, but they will fail just as the other ruthless revolutionaries failed. In the modern world, power is not enough. Power doesn’t issue from the barrel of a gun but from the wealth of the modern economy.


What about conservatives here in the United States? Shouldn’t we get to work and repair the damage of the Bush years? Exactly. The important thing to do is to reformulate conservatism into a sadder, wiser creed, and one that directs its appeal to the most important democraphic group in America: white women. Despite all we’ve heard over the past half-century, women care mainly about their marriages, their children, their health care, and their safety. Get right with women on that and you have got their support and deserve it.


That can’t be so hard, can it?

Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Christian Right Does Direct Democracy

Did you know that abortion is the biggest item in “protest” activity? Yep. Wins by a mile.

In a review of a book on the Christian Right The Democratic Virtues of the Christian Right by Jon Wright, Richard John Neuhaus notes how it is the Christian Right that has taken up the challenge for direct democracy that the SDS made in their Port Huron Statement in the Sixties.

“[S]ome 45 percent of respondents in the Citizens Participation Survey who reported participating in a national protest did so because of abortion. What is more, nearly three quarters of all abortion-issue protesters are pro-life, an unsurprising fact given that the pro-life movement is challenging rather than defending the current policy regime. Meanwhile, all other social issues, including pornography, gay rights, school prayer, and sex education, account for only 3 percent of all national protest activity.”

And you thought that the hottest issue right now was gay marriage.

Want to have some other media stereotypes challenged? It turns out that the pro-life movement is not really a movement of stay-at-home mothers against professional women.

[A] striking percentage of pro-life women are university educated, and many have given up professional careers to do pro-life work full-time.... “The pro-life movement,” he writes, “is actually quite diverse, and abortion politics more generally does not [as some claim] pit working-class Catholic housewives against professional, career-oriented women.”

In my view the rise of pro-life activism parallels the rise of environmentalism. Two hundred years ago, most people were fighting to make a bare existence on the land and to get a couple of children out of the nest. They didn’t have time for exquisite ideas about the sanctity of life and saving the planet.

But as soon as people moved to the city they started to have romantic ideas about Nature and the countryside. And as soon as women got free of the danger of childbirth and the heartbreak of infant deaths they started to develop romantic ideas about the delights of motherhood.

So it looks like we will have a sensible balance in the future. Liberals will champion the romantic view of Nature and conservatives will champion the romantic view of childbearing.

Monday, December 29, 2008

Naomi Klein's Latest Lefty Screed

Naomi Klein is a lefty journalist and author, daughter of anti-war Sixties parents that went to Canada during the Vietnam War.

In her No Logo, she railed against the Nineties economy. As I wrote for Liberty:

She is shocked by the megabrands, the brand bombers, and the category killers of the modern consumer society. For in the blaring public space of the brands there is No Space for artists and creativity, in the ravenous appetite of the Wal-Marts and Starbucks there is No Choice for consumers, in the new world of temporary jobs and contract workers there are No Jobs for workers.

It was, simply, left-wing rubbish. Yes indeed, so few were the jobs that half of Mexico came north to work at jobs that didn’t exist.

But now Klein is back with another left-wing tract. This time it’s called The Shock Doctrine and it argues that since people recoil from capitalism the capitalists have to trick the voters and consumers into accepting capitalism by staging crises and “shocks.”

That was before Democratic staffer Rahm Emanuel said: “You never want a serious crisis to go to waste.”

Exhibit A for Klein is—wait for it—Milton Friedman! Yes, he’s the trickster that got August Pinochet to liberalize Chile with his “Chicago boys.” (Yes. We get all the favorite lefty moments, like Chile, Tienanmien Square and so forth marshaled to show that the capitalists up and tricked us when we were feeling vulnerable.)

Johann Norberg in Reason does a good job of exposing the thinness of Klein’s argument. For instance, Klein writes that Friedman acted as “advisor to the Chilean dictator.”

In fact, Friedman never worked as an adviser to, and never accepted a penny from, the Chilean regime. He even turned down two honorary degrees from Chilean universities that received government funding, because he did not want to be seen as endorsing a dictatorship he considered "terrible" and "despicable." He did spend six days in Chile in March 1975 to give public lectures, at the invitation of a private foundation. When he was there he met with Pinochet for about 45 minutes and wrote him a letter afterward, arguing for a plan to end hyperinflation and liberalize the economy. He gave the same kind of advice to communist dictatorships as well, including the Soviet Union, China, and Yugoslavia.

But I suppose it doesn’t matter. Klein has her audience, and they’ll like what she says.

When you look at the shoddy stuff that the left puts out, you wonder: how long can this go on? The answer, unfortunately, is: a lot longer than you think.

And get your facts straight, Naomi. Milton Friedman was about as upfront and honest a guy as ever lived. To suggest that he ever proposed anything underhanded or tricksy is just fantasy. Or hate speech.