Friday, February 9, 2018

Suppose that Gentry Liberals are Democrats' Biggest Problem

Let us consider the latest Michael Barone piece, that "Gentry Liberals Own the Democratic Party." He means that:
In our three largest cities -- New York, Los Angeles and Chicago -- gentry liberals have become the dominant political demographic.
But, of course, Donald Trump is president. Then,
Gentry liberals have produced the metropolitan areas with the highest income inequality in the nation. They decry gentrification -- and the accompanying movement of low-income blacks and Hispanics out of their neighborhoods -- even as they cause it. They sing hymns to diversity even as they revel in the pleasures of communities where almost everybody believes and consumes exactly the same things -- and votes Democratic.
In other words, gentry liberals pursue politics that is very nice for gentry liberals, cities with expensive streetcars and bike lanes and yeasty cultural resources, and sky-high prices that keep the deplorables out of town. And every gentry liberal can enjoy the comfortable reassurance of #WeBelieve yard signs on every corner. President Obama is the poster boy for gentry liberals; he "has lived all his adult life in gentrified neighborhoods."

But there is a problem.
Dominating the party is one thing; producing candidates and issues with appeal to the broader national electorate is another. Gentry liberals have the microphone and the money to dominate the Democratic Party. Whether they can overcome their snobbish disdain and bitter contempt for those beyond their comfortable enclaves and come up with a winning national strategy is unclear.
Well, yeah. I hope that the dominance of the gentry liberals, the folk I call the People of the Creative Self, increasingly marginalizes the Democratic Party from the American mainstream. Hopefully this gentry-liberal dominance already is doing it.

For instance, one can only guess that Nancy Pelosi's eight-hour filibuster from the floor of the House of Representatives was an attempt to deflect the rage of the gentry liberals that the orange clown had run the table on the Democrats with the tax cut plan, the SOTU speech and the government shutdown. Not to mention the fact that, more and more, it seems clear that the Obama administration was spying on the Trump campaign on the excuse of trumped-up fake dossiers.

But will the Trump-led Republican Party actually take it to the Democrats and marginalize the preening educated-class liberals, gentry liberals, People of the Creative Self? Here's a piece that might influence you. J.B.White calls Donald Trump "The OODA Loop President."

What's that, you say? Well, the OODA Loop is the brainchild of a true American character, John Boyd, a fighter pilot that also lived to create the transformative F-15 and F-16 fighter jets from a desk at the Pentagon.

OODA stands for observe, orient, decide, act. It encapsulates what any warrior -- or market warrior -- does in a fight. But it takes time to go through the cycle, from one action to to the next. Thus speed is of the essence. The idea is to get inside your opponent's OODA Loop, disrupt his plans, and act faster than he can respond.

Which Trump seems to be able to do.

But there is another aspect of Trump, that came out in his SOTU speech: his apparent mastery of the "cares about people like me" metric. White writes that Trump prominently acknowledged
haunting, memorable, and heartbreaking trials and tribulations made extremely personal by a range of attendees who suffered great loss.
You know, of course, which voters would be most affected by this kind of rhetoric. Ordinary middle-class women, who would like respond to Trump's acknowledgement of the trials and tribulations of ordinary Americans as "caring about people like me."

The mainstream media has made a big deal about the notion that women vote for Democrats. And so they do, unless you subtract gentry liberal women, the #MeToo Pussyhat brigade, and black women. Then you find that ordinary middle-class women are not overwhelmingly Democrat at all.

But suppose that Trump starts successfully appealing more and more to ordinary middle-class women that are not gentry liberals, what then?

Well, we are going to find out pretty soon, as we swing into the mid-term election season.

You see, my judgement is that the whole liberal agenda is a gentry liberal conceit from entitlements to labor law to economic regulation to environmentalism and climate change. On my view, the diversity and inclusion movement seems to be all about getting gentry-liberal women jobs in universities and Silicon Valley. But the gentry-liberal agenda is not much fun for ordinary middle-class Americans.

What ordinary Americans want is a decent job, an affordable house in a decent area, decent schools for the kids, decent roads, and decent health care. Gentry liberals make that more difficult.

And Donald Trump seems to be the Great Communicator that can help ordinary Americans see that.

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