Barack von Schlieffen

There are reports this week about the secret plan for health-care reform. Bill writers are apparently not leaking as they beaver away to produce a plan that will utterly transform health care in America as we know it.

And that is saying nothing about the grand plan to transform energy production and use with the Obama administration's cap-and-trade plan.

For those of us with a little historical memory there is something eerily familiar about all this. But what is it?

The "It" is, of course, the Schlieffen Plan. It was the audacious plan of the Great German General Staff to take out France in six weeks with a stunning right hook through Belgium so that they could turn their armies eastward and deal with the Russians.

In the event, in 1914, they muffed it.

The question that General von Schlieffen did not ask is: What do you do with a defeated France and a defeated Russia after you are done whipping them? The Germans had already beaten France in 1870 and then stood around embarrassed for nearly a year while the French refused to capitulate.

In fact the Schlieffen Plan was an admission of failure, that Germany had weakened itself by becoming the strongest nation in Europe. If the Germans had merely taught France a short, sharp lesson in 1870 they could have gone home and returned to being merely the most advanced nation in the world, with the best philosophers, the best composers, the best scientists, and the best engineers, and the best universities.

Our liberal friends have a word for this deemphasis of "hard" military and political power. They call it "soft power." So then why are they not following their own advice and going slowly on their plans for health care reform and energy reform?

Because they must sense that time is running out on their project. They feel that strange and awful forces are gathering to plot their downfall. And they are right. Here are a few markers:

• The vast administrative apparatus they have built up in health care, in education, and in welfare is starting to crack. Designed over a century ago, it just doesn't do the job in the 21st century. Major reform is needed, but liberals can't allow reform because they might lose power.
  
• The liberal hegemony over the business and financial sector is a failure. Remember, all this regulation of business and government central banking was put together because you couldn't trust businessmen like Rockefeller and bankers like Morgan with the power to make or break the nation. But the recent credit crack-up demonstrates that the political hacks in charge of the financial system are clueless and the banking welfare queens that government financial welfare has created are as mindless and irresponsible as the underclass clients of the social workers.
  
• Liberal hegemony over the culture is a failure. Liberals are unmasked. In their personal lives they just want to fritter themselves away on projects of "creativity" while abandoning the real work of creating families and children. There is a simple word for a culture like this: Dead end.
  

So it makes complete sense that the Obama administration is executing the political equivalent of the famous Schlieffen Plan with its audacious left hook through health care and energy. The Obamunists sense that their liberal hour is coming to a close. It's now or never for them.

But liberals should remember what happened to Germany after its desperate effort to break out of its encirclement. It led to the utter defeat and humiliation of Germany, because the whole world ganged up to defeat the Bloody Hun.

Tea Parties: Astroturf or Sown by the Wind?

Our Democratic friends were very quick to brush off the Tea Party movement as "astroturf," which is liberal-speak for a movement that pretends to be grass-roots but is instead manipulated by string pullers from on high.

Liberal Harvard professor Theda Skocpol has written about this in Diminshed Democracy. She finds that the US used to have lots of membership associations that were represented by an elite cadre in Washington. Today’s activist groups, especially on the liberal side, are typically cadre with few members.

But it’s pretty clear that the Tea Party movement is not a fake movement pretending to be grass roots, like, e.g., ACORN. Here’s an article in the Wausau Daily Herald by Meg Ellefson, organizer of a Tea Party in Wausau, Wisconsin. She makes it all perfectly clear.

I organized the Wausau Tea Party in about two weeks, with donated goods and services from individuals and small business owners... I’m just a regular mom who lives in Rib Mountain, who is fed up with our government and motivated to plan a tea party. I am not involved in Wisconsin politics, nor have I ever been affiliated with any candidate’s campaign in Wisconsin.

Ellefson was pretty clear about her concerns:

Wisconsin tax payers are fed up with government’s out-of-control spending and excessive taxation without representation.

This spring our Democratic friends are clearly engaged upon a massive dash to implement their agenda before anyone can wake up and oppose it. Hugh Hewitt today writes about the secret talks to develop the Democratic health reform plan.

I have the feeling that the Democrats are making a strategic mistake. The rush to push things through and make them a fait accompli before opposition can develop is telling. It tells us that they know that their ideas are really not popular.

Maybe their strategy is right. Maybe they can cram their agenda down our throats, and keep it there. But maybe they will provoke instead a movement of rejection that will change the face of politics in America.

"Obama is Overwhelmed"

If you read Solzhenitzyn’s August 1917 you will recall his description of the Russian commander on the front with Germany. He was in a daze, confused and demoralized by the blizzard of incoming information.

That’s why it takes a couple of years in any war to sort out the good generals from the bad ones. It’s a question of temperament. Men who were sitting comfortably in a cradle-to-grave bureaucracy are suddenly called upon to make life-and-death decisions every hour. Most of them can’t make the transition. They get overwhelmed by the confusion and the uncertainty, the “fog” of war.

Right now, I’m right in the middle of reading General Grant’s Personal Memoirs and we are just coming up on the capture of Vicksburg. It’s interesting to read a man who had the temperament to be a general. The critical thing that Grant can do is form a mental picture of the correlation of forces. He can tell what’s a threat and what is not. And he’s good at confusing the enemy. For instance, he sends General Sherman off on a feint up the Yazoo River to the north of Vicksburg before rafting his troops downstream to the south of Vicksburg. He notes that he later found out that the feint caused all kinds of heartburn to the Confederate defenders of Vicksburg.

So when we read that "Obama is overwhelmed," we knuckledraggers who read a bit of military history say: Oh ho. I’ve heard that one before.

The fact is that after the election Obama and his team had a choice. They could continue on Plan A, the plan to ratchet up government spending in health care, in education, and global warming response. Or they could say: Whoa, Neddy. They could say: Whatever we may have wanted to do if we had our druthers, we don’t. It’s Plan B time. And the Obama administration won’t add up to a bucket of warm spit if we don’t fix the credit system. Now.

But they didn’t. They were inexperienced and lacked a strategic vision of what is important and what is just noise.

Actually, that’s true not just of Obama and his team but of most Democrats and liberals.

The important stuff for government to do is the guy stuff, securing the nation against enemies foreign and domestic. All the other stuff that government does is fluff. Mostly, especially in health care, in education, in welfare, and in pensions, it is doing stuff that people ought to be doing for themselves.

But liberals and Democrats get this upside down. They believe that the Nanny State stuff is the important stuff: the mothering on health care, education, and affordable housing. Then they regard defense as imperialism, and policing as domestic oppression.

Sooner or later, when you get things completely upside down, reality catches up with you.

No wonder President Obama is overwhelmed. He’s got his world-view wrong and, in consequence, he’s got his priorities wrong too. The trouble is that the world won’t wait for him to figure it all out.

So the American people will have to pay for his education. And there’s no guarantee that, at the end of his crash course in reality, he will “get it.”

Dems' Luck Running Out?

How lucky are the Democrats? They came into power in 1933 after a Republican president had been screwing up the economy for 3.5 years. They came into power in 1961 after President Eisenhower had paid down the WWII debt, so they could open the spigots for a decade of fun and frolic.

They came into power in 1976 just after the end of a nasty recession. They came into power in 1993 just after a mild recession.

But this time the Dems are coming into power at the beginning of a nasty recession.

Maybe their luck is running out. Because today government leaders need to make some difficult decisions to revive the economy. It’s not First and Ten. It’s Third and Long.

The political parties are, realistically, one-trick ponies. The Republicans always want to cut spending and taxes, and are looking over their shoulder wondering how much in the way of spending cuts the American people will tolerate.

The Democrats always believe in more spending. Whether it’s 1933 or 1993, it’s time for a stimulus.

But maybe not now. You see, the governments in the US have been cranking up spending on “nice-to-have” pretty well uninterrupted since the Reagan Cuts of 1981. There really isn’t anyone around that was there when cutting was the order of the day. And Democrats have never had to do the serious work of political triage: which lovely spending programs do I cut and which do I save?

It seems to me that the markets are telling us that the Spend Yesterday, Spend Now, Spend Tomorrow philosophy of the Democrats as manifested in the bloated budget of President Obama is wrong. The time has come for retrenchment, and the sooner the better.

Democrats don’t want to hear that. The present Obama generation has never had to hear it. For Democrats, the answer to every problem is to increase spending.

I suspect that things are going to have to get a lot worse before our Democratic friends will realize that they must change course and abandon their present policy of increased spending and bailouts.

Because sooner or later, we are going to have to get the business owners of America more money so they can earn enough profit to expand their businesses and start hiring.

Sooner or later, our Democratic friends are going to have to learn that tossing money away on political pet projects from new government buildings to more health care to more education to alternative-energy subsidies just doesn’t cut it.

The fact is that government is a cost. RIght now, the government is an enormous cost. The time has come to reduce that enormous burden on the backs of the American people. Then the economy can catch its breath and get moving again.

I just hope that the American people don’t have to suffer too much while our Democratic friends learn this vital lesson.

Let's Get Serious Mr. President

Now that the president’s budget has been out for about a week, it is time to reach a judgment upon it. What can we say now about the course that President Obama has set for the federal government and, by extension, all the governments of the United States?

I think it is becoming clear. The Obama administration’s budget is an error of strategic proportions.

The Democrats ran in 2008 on a platform that proposed to give government a bigger slice of the Bush prosperity. We had the money for extra health care programs. We had the money for pre-K schooling. We needed to spend big money to revolutionize the energy economy to meet the challenge of global warming. Nobody was thinking about a big financial crisis.

(President Bush probably was. Else why would he nominate Ben Bernanke, an expert on the Great Depression, as Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, and Hank Paulson, Mr. Big from Wall Street, as Treasury Secretary?)

Anyone with half a brain understands that the status quo of 2007-08 has been smashed to smithereens. We are not going to be thinking about nice-to-have social programs in the next few years. We are not going to be whacking away on the oil companies and the coal companies as we bring in beautiful solar farms and wind farms.

No. Anyone with half a brain understands that we are going to be putting the economy back together in the aftermath of the biggest financial hurricane in living memory.

But the president’s budget doesn’t really adjust its spending plans to this reality. His budget shows that it was developed by campaign staffers back in the middle of 2008 before the crash in September when Lehman Brothers went under.

Right now what is needed is to go through all government budgets with a meat axe. What is needed is to release resources being wasted on low-value government programs and to redirect them to more valuable uses in the private economy.

But the Obama administration with its willing accomplices in Congress have just enacted a vast increase in government spending on stupid stuff that doesn’t deliver value to the bottom line.

Right now what is needed is to give substantial marginal tax-rate relief to America’s business leaders—and I mean to the people earning between $250,000 and $1,000,000 per year, the people who run America’s small-to-medium-sized businesses—so that they can improve their cash flow enough to start hiring again.

But the Obama administration is planning big tax increases on America’s business leaders.

How do you spell R-E-A-L-L-Y D-U-M-B?

There is still time for the Obama administration to get it right. But time is running out.

But then there’s this:

• Today I read an article saying that Treasury SecretaryTim Geithner looks like a student pilot trying to fly an F-18.
• And they say that none of the under-secretaries at Treasury have even been nominated yet.

Yes, Mr. President. What exactly is the status of your grand plan to fix the banks and end the financial crisis?

The Culture of Compulsion

According to President Obama, he doesn’t believe in Big Government. When he asked Congress to send him a recovery plan, he told the nation in his almost State of the Union speech, all he wanted to do was put people back to work and put money in their pockets.

Not because I believe in bigger government – I don’t.

On the strength of that, writes Tony Blankley, we can say, in the spirit of bipartisanship that reigned from 2003-2008:

Obama lied; the economy died.

According to Obama’s own Budget Overview, federal spending will increase from the 20 percent range in the Bush years to over 22 percent in the mid 2010s.

So on the basis of numbers, he is going for Bigger Government.

But then there is the program side. In his budget proposal, President Obama proposes the following:

• Increase federal government control over health care
• Increase spending on education
• Create a fast-track renewable energy program and create a carbon cap-and-trade tax

Come on, Mr. President. In the immortal words of fictional silent-screen movie star Lina Lamont: What do you think I am? Dumb or something?

What you want to do is increase the span of compulsion. You want to increase the government’s control over the American people. You want to introduce more compulsion into health care. You want to increase the amount of compulsion in education. You want to increase the amount of compulsion in energy production and consumption.

Let’s face it. President Obama and the Democratic Party are hopelessly lost in a pernicious Culture of Compulsion. Everything they want to do, they want to do it by force and compulsion.

Tell the truth, Mr. President. And shame the devil. Your program is a program of Big Government.

(Ain’t opposition fun!)

Why Presidents Fail

Our liberal friends are predictably annoyed by Rush Limbaugh’s hope that President Obama “fails.”

It was ok to wish the most frightful things on President Bush. But this is different.

On Saturday, Rush Limbaugh “doubled down” on the Obama failure meme. So let’s look at what he said at CPAC.

This notion that I want the President to fail, folks, this shows you a sign of the problem we’ve got. That’s nothing more than common sense and to not be able to say it, why in the world do I want what we just described, rampant government growth indebtedness, wealth that’s not even being created yet that is being spent, what is in this? What possibly is in this that anybody of us wants to succeed?

Rush Limbaugh looks at the program of President Obama, and says: I don’t want this to succeed.

The greatest power of all is not the power to run the government to to lead a great army. It is to define what can and cannot be said. It is to have the power to say: This is beyond the pale, and I cannot believe that you would say it.

The great contribution to American culture made by Rush Limbaugh is that he has pushed back against the liberal efforts to draw the line on what is acceptable speech. Back in the 1990s when Limbaugh was first building a national audience for the Rush Limbaugh Program, listeners would call in, agog, and say: But Rush, you’re not allowed to say that!

Of course, if Rush Limbaugh were running for political office, or the head of a foundation, or lobbying for government grants, he could not say the things he says.

This is something that Limbaugh’s liberal critics do not understand. Rush Limbaugh does not live or die by his political reputation. Rush Limbaugh is an entertainer who lives and dies by the ratings of his radio show. He is like any celebrity: all publicity is good publicity.

So if Rush Limbaugh has failed for several months to raise the outrage of the liberals, an alarm bell goes off in his head. It is telling him to serve up something outrageous, get into the news—and drive a few new listeners to his radio program.

The folk in the conservative rank-and-file appreciate the courage that Rush Limbaugh exhibits. They appreciate that someone at least has the guts to show their head above the parapet and say the things that liberals say you are not allowed to say in America.

Rush Limbaugh is only saying what every conservative is saying in his heart: Golly. I sure hope this guy fails to get all the new taxing and spending that he’s planning. If Obama succeeds we will look back and see that he really did change America—for the worse.