Monday, February 1, 2016

I'm for Cruz, But...

The last ten years have been agonizing for conservatives, what with the Fall of Bush and the astonishing rise of Obama. And in the special moment the Democrats got from 2009 to 2010 they punched through a bunch of legislation that will make the administrative state bigger forever.

The science is settled on the administrative state. It doesn't work, can't work, because a nest of bureaucrats in Washington DC cannot outperform the market. It's a bandwidth problem. You just cannot get enough decisions out of the bureaucrats, but you can out of the millions of consumers and thousands of producers. So it stumbles along, from one embarrassment to another. But we the people still want our free stuff.

That is why Obamacare has been such an unholy mess, why it started out as a 2,500 page bill, and why the Obama administration has to violate the letter of the law with a river of illegal regulations to keep it alive. The administrative state is a disaster. And unjust to boot.

And on top of it all, the GOP establishment seems to go along to get along with the Obama administration, seemingly avoiding confrontation at all costs.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is the candidate for all of us utterly frustrated with the lawlessness of the Obama administration and the apparent spinelessness of the GOP establishment. He's the guy running on the Constitution.

And yet.

Why does everybody hate him? Is it because he goes back on his word? Is it because he hasn't bowed the knee to his betters? Is it because he is very smart and isn't afraid to show it? Is it because he has Asperger's, and just doesn't know how to connect with people? Apparently George W. Bush doesn't like him; neither does Karl Rove.

"Nobody likes Ted" is a big issue because one of the prime qualifications for winning the presidency is "likeability." The most likeable candidate wins. He's the one you figure you could talk to in a bar, or with whom you could "share" in your kaffee klatsch.

It's obvious that Cruz projects the necessary outrage required of a Time for a Change candidate. But what about the Hope and Change side of him?

Today in Iowa is the first day in the 2016 election process where the ordinary voters get to vote. If I were going to a caucus in Iowa, I'd be going as a Cruz supporter. But I'd be pretty happy with Marco Rubio.

And while I don't like Donald Trump, for a host of reasons beginning with the fact that he really doesn't seem to have a real agenda, but just atmospherics, I can't help approve of the fact that he seems to be bringing another lost tribe into the Republican encampment. This has been the story of the Republican Party since World War II. Starting with Ronald Reagan, group after group discovered that they didn't leave the Democratic Party, the Party left them. And no group has been more dissed than the white working class; it fell out of favor with Democrats starting with the 1968 election. That it has taken the white working class nearly 50 years to realize that Daddy doesn't love them any more is beside the point.

Well, let the voting begin. I suspect that 2016 is going to be a political year that will ring down the years like 1968.

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